Saturday, July 11, 2026

CC Newsletter 09 July - A World at the Edge: War, Climate, Justice, and the Search for Alternatives

                     

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COUNTERCURRENTS NEWSLETTERS SHARED IN ITS ENTIRETY DUE TO THE 
GLOBAL SIGNIFICANCE OF MANY ISSUES....

Dear Friend,

As the world confronts widening wars, accelerating climate disruption, deepening inequality, and shrinking democratic space, the need for independent journalism has never been greater. This issue of Countercurrents brings together critical analyses and firsthand accounts that illuminate these interconnected crises while also exploring pathways toward justice, peace, and social transformation.

We lead with extensive coverage of the escalating US–Iran conflict, which threatens to destabilize the wider West Asian region, disrupt global energy supplies, and deepen an already volatile geopolitical landscape. Alongside this, we continue our coverage of Palestine, including urgent international calls for the release of Dr. Hussam Abu Safiya, a deeply moving account of returning to a devastated home in Gaza, and an open letter affirming that solidarity with Palestine extends beyond governments.

Climate change remains one of humanity's defining challenges. Our featured analysis examines how ecological breakdown is reshaping economies, societies, and livelihoods across the globe, with particular attention to the vulnerabilities of South Asia.

The issue also explores alternatives and resistance: community-led solutions to rural water governance, the promise and limitations of humanitarian education, critical reflections on militarization and NATO, the changing geopolitical landscape of West Asia, and structural inequalities embedded in the global economy.

We also publish important contributions on civil liberties, human rights, education, constitutional accountability, digital culture, Ambedkar's social thought, Balochistan, Bastar, the regulation of NGOs, and the continuing relevance of Marxist critique in contemporary intellectual debates.

At Countercurrents, we believe that understanding the world requires connecting events to their deeper political, economic, and ecological causes. We remain committed to providing a platform for independent voices that challenge dominant narratives and contribute to informed public discourse.

Thank you for reading, sharing, and supporting reader-funded journalism.

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The work we publish each day—connecting wars, ecological crises, democratic struggles and social movements to their deeper causes, amplifying critical voices, and sustaining spaces for independent thought—depends entirely on reader support. If you find value in this kind of journalism, we invite you to help sustain it. Your contribution enables us to continue documenting, analysing, and resisting the forces that shape our world.

Support us:https://countercurrents.org/subscription/.



If you find value in the work we publish, please forward this newsletter to friends and colleagues and help strengthen independent, reader-supported journalism. Your support and sharing help us continue providing a space for critical voices and thoughtful analysis. You can subscribe to our newsletter here http://www.countercurrents.org/news-letter/.

In Solidarity

Binu Mathew
Editor
Countercurrents.org



IRAN-USA CONFLICT

US–Iran Conflict Deepens as Retaliatory Strikes Threaten Regional War
by Countercurrents Collective


The exchange of military strikes between the United States and Iran has rapidly eroded a fragile ceasefire, pushing the region into one of its most dangerous moments in recent years. Attacks now extend across Iran, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, and the Persian Gulf, with civilian casualties, damage to infrastructure, and growing risks to global energy supplies. As both governments justify their actions as defensive responses, diplomatic efforts have struggled to contain the escalation. This article examines the latest developments, the widening regional implications, and why the conflict poses serious challenges for international peace, economic stability, and global security.



Deferring a Crisis: The Iran-US Ceasefire Cracks
by Dr Binoy Kampmark


The fragile ceasefire between Iran and the United States is showing clear signs of collapse as renewed attacks in the Strait of Hormuz, retaliatory strikes, and the reimposition of sanctions deepen regional instability. Dr. Binoy Kampmark examines how violations of the June memorandum, continued fighting involving regional allies, and escalating military exchanges have exposed the limits of the agreement. He argues that despite increasingly hostile rhetoric and expanding military operations, neither side has abandoned the possibility of future negotiations. The article explores the strategic calculations, geopolitical consequences, and uncertain diplomatic prospects shaping a conflict that remains unresolved despite the formal ceasefire.



When Seafarers Become Casualties of Conflict: Four Indian Lives, One Global Crisis
by Jacob Clint


Four Indian seafarers lost their lives in June 2026, exposing the growing dangers faced by civilian maritime workers as commercial shipping routes become entangled in geopolitical conflict. This article examines how attacks in conflict zones and failures in emergency medical care reveal serious gaps in international protections for seafarers. It also documents the efforts of the Forward Seamen’s Union of India to secure justice, stronger safety measures and greater accountability. The deaths of these workers underscore the urgent need for international action to safeguard the people whose labour keeps global trade, energy supplies and essential goods moving.


PALESTINE



UN Inquiry, Family, and Rights Groups Urge Israel to Immediately Release Gaza’s Dr. Hussam Abu Safiya
by Quds News Network


A United Nations inquiry commission, Dr. Hussam Abu Safiya’s family, and leading human rights organisations have called for the immediate release of the Palestinian doctor, who has been held by Israel without charge for more than 18 months. Lawyers and rights groups report severe torture, denial of medical care, and rapidly deteriorating health, while UN bodies describe his detention as arbitrary and contrary to international law. Once the director of Gaza’s Kamal Adwan Hospital, Abu Safiya has become a symbol of the wider targeting of Palestinian healthcare workers. The article examines the mounting international calls for his release.


Return to Al-Wihda Tower
by Khaled Al-Qershali


After more than two years of displacement, Khaled Al-Qershali’s family returns to their damaged apartment in Gaza City, hoping to rebuild their lives. They carry belongings up six flights of stairs, patch shattered floors and walls, restore water and electricity where possible, and reclaim small routines that offer a measure of dignity. Yet each step forward is overshadowed by renewed airstrikes, damaged infrastructure, and the constant shortage of essential supplies. This personal account documents the difficult process of returning home, revealing how survival, resilience, and everyday labor continue amid destruction, uncertainty, and the enduring realities of occupation and war.


Open Letter to Benjamin Netanyahu: India Does Not Speak With One Voice
by Dr Suresh Khairnar


India's support for Israel is not unanimous, argues Dr. Suresh Khairnar in this open letter to Benjamin Netanyahu. Citing the 2024 Indian election results, he contends that the views of the Indian government should not be equated with those of the country's entire population. The letter criticizes Israel's military actions in Gaza, Iran and Lebanon, references the writings of Mahatma Gandhi and Nelson Mandela on Palestine, and points to growing international criticism of Israeli policies. It concludes by asserting that many Indians identify with traditions of nonviolence, justice and solidarity with oppressed peoples rather than support for war.


CLIMATE CHANGE


Climate Change at the Tipping Point: Global Disruptions and the Growing Crisis in the Indian Subcontinent
by Pon Chandran


Climate change is no longer a distant threat but a defining force shaping economies, ecosystems and human survival. This article examines how rising temperatures, extreme weather, ocean warming and disrupted water systems are transforming the world, while placing the Indian subcontinent among the regions most vulnerable to climate impacts. It explores growing pressures on agriculture, energy, public health and coastal communities, and argues that climate adaptation must become central to development and governance. The article also highlights the emerging importance of regional cooperation, resilient infrastructure and sustainable water management as climate risks become increasingly interconnected across South Asia and beyond.


COUNTER SOLUTIONS

What Is Humanitarian Education and Does It Help Build Peace?
by Chloe Bruce


Humanitarian education has become an essential response to conflict, displacement, and humanitarian crises, extending beyond access to schooling to include psychosocial support, peace education, and resilience-building. This article examines how humanitarian organizations seek to protect children, rebuild communities, and reduce violence through education, while assessing the evidence for its long-term impact. It also explores the challenges of chronic underfunding, political constraints, fragmented approaches, and limited evaluation. As conflicts intensify worldwide, the article argues that education remains a vital humanitarian investment, even as questions persist about its effectiveness in building lasting peace.


Community Mobilisation Helps in Resolving Rural Water Supply Problems
by Bharat Dogra


Access to piped water is transforming life in many rural communities, reducing the daily burden of collecting water, especially for women. Yet uneven supply, delays, exclusion of remote settlements, and local inequities continue to hinder progress. This article examines how community participation, led by trained women volunteers known as Jal Sahelis, is helping resolve disputes, improve implementation, and ensure that water reaches every household. It also highlights why protecting local water sources remains essential for long-term water security, even as piped supply expands. A ground-level account of challenges, collective action, and lessons for sustainable rural water governance.



NATO


An Open Letter to NATO: The False Promise of Militarized Security
by Dr Curtis FJ Doebbler


As NATO expands military spending and reinforces deterrence strategies, Dr. Curtis FJ Doebbler argues that lasting security cannot be achieved through militarization alone. The article examines the human, economic, and legal consequences of prioritizing arms over social investment, contending that inequality, exclusion, and weak international cooperation are the deeper drivers of conflict. It calls for a renewed commitment to international law, participatory governance, fair economic policies, and global institutions capable of addressing shared challenges such as climate change, poverty, and public health. The essay presents a case for redefining security around human well-being rather than military power.



"MUSLIM NATO"

Beyond the “Muslim NATO”- Strategic Autonomy in a Multipolar World
by Dr Ranjan Solomon


The shifting balance of global power is prompting new debates about security, regional cooperation and strategic independence across West Asia. In this article, Dr. Ranjan Solomon argues that the idea of a “Muslim NATO” is less a religious military alliance than a reflection of a broader search for strategic autonomy in an increasingly multipolar world. Examining the legacy of Western interventions, the war in Gaza, regional diplomacy and changing global alignments, he contends that emerging partnerships are driven primarily by national interests and sovereignty rather than ideology, signalling a significant transformation in the international security landscape.



GLOBAL ECONOMY


The Global Economy Wasn’t Built for Everyone
by Utkarsh Mishra


The global economy is often presented as a system that channels wealth and opportunity to developing countries. This article argues that the reality is increasingly the opposite. Drawing on recent data and research, Utkarsh Mishra examines how debt, trade rules, financial systems, taxation, and intellectual property regimes contribute to a steady outflow of resources from poorer nations. It traces the historical evolution of these institutions and explores how unequal terms of trade and global finance continue to shape development outcomes. The article offers a detailed analysis of the structural forces behind persistent global economic inequality.



MARXISM


“Requiem for French Theory”
by Monthly Review Press


French Theory has shaped academic debates across the humanities for decades. In "Requiem for French Theory", Aymeric Monville and Gabriel Rockhill offer a sustained Marxist critique of its intellectual legacy, arguing that its rise was intertwined with Cold War politics and anti-communist ideology. This introduction by John Bellamy Foster traces the historical origins of French Theory, examines its influence on contemporary thought, and situates the new book within broader debates on philosophy, class struggle, and imperialism. Published by Monthly Review Press, the volume presents a provocative intervention in ongoing discussions about Marxism, postmodernism, and the politics of knowledge.


BALOCHISTAN

Balochistan and the Abnormal Crisis of a Failing State: Repression, Resistance, and the Collapse of Trust
by Baloch Siddik Azad


Balochistan is witnessing an intensifying cycle of repression and public resistance amid growing political unrest. This article argues that recent arrests, life sentences, internet shutdowns, and security measures reflect a deeper crisis rooted in decades of mistrust and militarized governance. It examines allegations of enforced disappearances, proxy violence, judicial manipulation, and economic marginalization, while highlighting the emergence of organized civil resistance and diaspora advocacy. The author contends that the erosion of trust between the Pakistani state and the people of Balochistan has become structural, making political dialogue, accountability, and justice essential for addressing the province’s long-standing crisis.



FCRA AMENDMENT

Social Work, Conversions and NGOs
by Dr Ram Puniyani


Dr. Ram Puniyani examines the debate around NGOs, religious conversions, and recent changes to the FCRA, placing them in the context of constitutional rights, historical evidence, and public policy. The article reviews census data, major incidents of anti-Christian violence, the Niyogi Committee report, and the views of Jawaharlal Nehru and Mahatma Gandhi on religious freedom and conversion. It argues that widely circulated claims about large-scale forcible conversions are not supported by available evidence and explores how these narratives continue to shape legislation, public discourse, and the work of civil society organizations across India.


YOUTH MOBILISATION

Krantikari Yuva Sangathan Releases its Chargesheet Against Union Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan
by Krantikari Yuva Sangathan (KYS)


Krantikari Yuva Sangathan (KYS) has released a detailed chargesheet demanding the dismissal of Union Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan, alleging repeated failures in the management of India’s education system. The document cites examination paper leaks, controversies over education policies, funding shortfalls, institutional governance, academic freedom, and the condition of public education. It argues that these issues have deepened inequality and weakened public confidence in educational institutions. The chargesheet calls for accountability from the Union government and urges the Prime Minister to remove the minister from office.   



RSS

Why is RSS not registering itself?
by Nagesh Chaudhary


Why is the RSS not registered under the Societies Registration Act despite being one of India's largest organisations? This article examines Karnataka Home Minister Priyank Kharge's demand for registration and explores the ideological arguments advanced by the RSS in response. Drawing on the writings of M. S. Golwalkar, the author argues that the organisation's conception of nation, state and authority helps explain its position. The article also discusses the historical role of the Constitution, Dr. B. R. Ambedkar's critique of Manusmriti, and the political context in which the debate over the RSS's legal and constitutional accountability continues to unfold.



HUMAN RIGHTS

Reddening the Green: Costs, Contexts, And Consequences of the War in Bastar (2024-2026)
by People's Union for Democratic Rights


A new report by the People's Union for Democratic Rights examines 27 months of Operation Kagaar in Bastar, documenting publicly reported killings, arrests and surrenders between January 2024 and March 2026. It questions the absence of independent oversight, the expansion of militarized state policy, and accountability for the use of force. The report also places the conflict within the broader context of mining, land acquisition and legal changes affecting the rights of Indigenous communities and local self-governance. It argues that security operations, resource extraction and weakened legal protections are increasingly interconnected, with significant implications for human rights and constitutional safeguards.



BHAKTI MOVEMENT

Dr B. R. Ambedkar’s Views on the Bhakti Movement and the Upliftment of Dalits
by SR Darapuri


Dr. B. R. Ambedkar’s assessment of the Bhakti Movement combined appreciation with sharp criticism. While acknowledging the moral courage of saints such as Kabir, Ravidas and Chokhamela in challenging caste prejudice and ritualism, he argued that devotional reform did not dismantle caste or secure justice for Dalits. The article examines Ambedkar’s distinction between spiritual equality and social equality, his critique of saint-centered reform, and his insistence on education, political representation, constitutional rights and organized struggle as the foundations of emancipation. It explores why Ambedkar regarded structural transformation, rather than devotional practice alone, as essential for genuine social liberation.



WASTE MANAGEMENT

Bin-Free Bengaluru: A Good Idea Facing Ground Realities
by Deepika S R Sharanya M Sathish P and Saravanan V


Bengaluru’s decision to remove public garbage bins aims to promote waste segregation and reduce unhealthy dumping sites, supported by an extensive door-to-door collection system. Yet field research shows that the policy struggles against everyday realities. Many working households miss collection timings, leaving them with few practical disposal options, while limited access to waste drop-off kiosks encourages illegal dumping. The article examines how gaps between policy design and urban life undermine an otherwise well-conceived system. It argues that expanding convenient collection options, improving public awareness, and strengthening citizen participation are essential for making the city’s waste management strategy succeed.



SOCIAL MEDIA AND GEN Z

Algorithm in the Mirror: How Digital ‘Cultural Industries’ Bought the Soul of Gen Z
by Pardeep Singh Bali


Digital platforms have transformed culture into a system shaped by algorithms, advertising, and data. This article revisits the idea of the cultural industry to examine how social media influences identity, creativity, and consumption among Gen Z. It explores the rise of micro-dramas, influencer culture, algorithm-driven trends, and the growing shift toward private online spaces as young people seek more authentic forms of connection. It argues that understanding how digital platforms operate is essential for preserving individual autonomy. Critical media literacy, the article suggests, is an important step toward reclaiming agency in an increasingly commercialized digital environment.



BOOK REVIEW

Rajwati’s radiance
by Farooque Chowdhury


Farooque Chowdhury reviews "Rajwati and Her Times" by Madhu Bhaduri, a biographical account that traces the life of Rajwati Seth across colonial India, Partition, and the early decades of independence. The review highlights how one woman’s life illuminates wider social change, including debates on women’s education, widow remarriage, faith, caste, and communal violence. Rich with portraits of remarkable individuals and historical moments, the book offers insights into the intellectual, social, and political currents of a transformative era. It is a valuable resource for readers interested in history, society, memory, and the human experience across generations.



ICYMI: The Downballot releases presidential results for every new House district, sponsored by Grassroots Analytics

                    

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The Downballot is pleased to present our calculations of the results of the 2024 presidential election for every congressional district that will be used in the 2026 midterms—including updated data for all 10 states with new maps.

You can find a permanent, bookmarkable link with numbers for every district here.


A message from our sponsor, Grassroots Analytics:

Grassroots Analytics is teaming up with the Higher Ground Institute to host a campaign simulation in Washington, DC this August!

Join us on August 24th and 25th as we shrink an entire primary campaign down to two days to take big swings, try new ideas, and experiment with the possibilities for progressive campaigning. Anyone who is part of the campaigns and election space is welcome to attend. Registration and your hotel stay come at no cost to you!

We can’t wait to host you in our DC office to foster new ideas for 2028. See more information and register for the campaign simulation today →


The Downballot’s calculations, which we’ve provided to the public since the 2008 elections, represent the gold standard when it comes to presidential results by district because of our commitment to accuracy and transparency.

It’s been adopted so broadly because we provide much more than just the topline figures. We also:

If you value all our hard work in compiling this data—and especially if you plan to use it for your work—we’d be incredibly grateful if you’d become a paid subscriber.


Why we needed new data

The number of states requiring new calculations in the middle of a decade is exceptionally high, particularly since all but one new map was enacted voluntarily, rather than as the result of a court order. By contrast, just four states saw mid-decade redistricting in the entirety of the 2010s, all because of litigation.

The turmoil stems from the directive Donald Trump issued just over a year ago to Republican-controlled states, demanding that they further gerrymander their maps to insulate the GOP from voters amid an unfavorable political environment.

Trump’s push began with Texas, but soon enough, Missouri and North Carolina followed suit. And after the Supreme Court gutted what remained of the Voting Rights Act in April, Southern states swiftly began dismantling districts where Black and Latino voters had previously been guaranteed the opportunity to elect their preferred candidates. These included Alabama, Florida, Louisiana, and Tennessee.

Ohio was also obligated to pass a new map thanks to a baroque set of rules adopted under the misleading guise of redistricting reform. Republicans could have re-passed the state’s existing map but instead used the opportunity to placate Trump as well.

Only California Democrats were able to fight back, as a mix of state laws, unfavorable court rulings, and political complacency resulted in no changes in any other blue states. Utah, finally, will have a new map that’s more favorable to Democrats after a court ruled the previous GOP-authored map violated a voter-approved measure curtailing partisan gerrymandering.

In all, these 10 states—which include the three largest—cover 181 districts, though 36 were left unaltered. The 145 districts that did change amount to exactly one-third of the seats in the entire U.S. House of Representatives.

What it means for November—and beyond

The new maps have already led to serious disruption, as many incumbents have retired or lost primaries as a consequence, or are running in different districts. The greatest effects, though, will be felt in the November general elections.

In all, Republicans have targeted 16 seats by making them redder, while Democrats have done the same for just five seats, and the court ruling in Utah adds a sixth. The presidential results for these districts, along with their predecessors, are shown below, demonstrating just how much each of these districts has changed politically.

These transformations have, just as Trump had hoped, made it harder for Democrats to win back control of the House this fall. The simplest and clearest way we can measure this shift is by zooming in on what’s known as the median district.

We can find this district by ranking every seat from bluest to reddest, based on its performance in the 2024 presidential election. The district in the very middle—the median—gives us a sense of the kind of turf either party would need to win to capture a bare majority of 218 districts.

Before Trump launched his redistricting crusade, the median district, Arizona’s 1st, already leaned to the right of the nation as a whole: Trump won it by 3.1 points in 2024, even though he won the national popular vote by 1.5 points.

Now the median district is Virginia’s 1st, which went for Trump by 4.9 points—1.8 points further to the right than it was two years ago, and 3.4 points to the right of the country.

That means Republicans could retain their House majority by winning only districts that Trump won by around 5 points or more—and none bluer, including any won by Kamala Harris. Democrats, by contrast, would need to win at least 18 districts carried by Trump.

Winning on the other side’s turf

House elections never sort out that neatly, though, because some Democrats inevitably win red districts—even those redder than the median—while some Republicans will win blue ones.

These “crossover” districts have declined dramatically as ticket-splitting has grown increasingly rare in American politics. That is to say, the vast majority of voters who cast ballots for a Democratic presidential nominee will also vote for a Democrat for the House, and vice versa.

In total, there were just 16 crossover districts in 2024: three “Harris-Republican” seats and 13 “Trump-Democratic” seats. Thanks to the new maps, though, these numbers have spiked, as you can see in the table below, with eight Harris-Republican seats and 23 Trump-Democratic seats.

In states with new districts where no incumbent is running, we’ve labeled those seats as “NEW” and assigned them to the party that previously held them. As you can see, many incumbents chose not to run again (or ran elsewhere) rather than seek reelection on hostile turf.

Some, however, are fighting on despite facing more difficult odds, such as Democrats Darren Soto, Shomari Figures, and Emanuel Cleaver, and Republicans James Gallagher and Kevin Kiley. (Kiley changed his party affiliation to independent earlier this year but is still a member of the GOP caucus and is running with Republican support.)

Not all targets are created equal

Yet even though Republicans have—for now—won the battle over redistricting, they are still more likely than not to lose the war for the thing that matters most: control of the House.

Democrats currently enjoy a 6-point lead in an average of generic congressional ballot polling compiled by FiftyPlusOne, and the site’s new simulation of what would happen if the midterms were held today shows Democrats would win at least 218 seats approximately 88% of the time. Historically, these numbers are only likely to improve for the party out of power as we get closer to Election Day.

That’s why it’s important not to conflate the number of seats each party has targeted in redistricting with the number it’s apt to flip—especially in red states.

Texas Republicans, for instance, overhauled five Democratic-held districts, but Democrats are still fiercely competing for three of them, so it wouldn’t be a surprise if the GOP came up well short of their goals in the Lone Star State.

The same is true for many impacted races in Florida, North Carolina, Ohio, and Alabama, while in Missouri, a ballot measure may yet succeed in blocking the state’s new map from taking effect.

What’s more, even though presidential elections are very strongly correlated with House elections—as the very small number of crossover seats indicates—they are a starting point, not an ending point, for anyone interested in understanding how November will unfold.

It bears emphasizing that Trump’s 2024 performance may, in many districts, represent something of a high-water mark for the GOP. Much has changed since then, including Trump’s nosediving popularity; deep discontent over the soaring cost of living; and boomeranging attitudes toward Republicans among many Latino voters, who veered sharply to the right two years ago but have since swung back to the left just as strongly.

That last point is particularly crucial for several of the districts that the GOP targeted that are still home to large numbers of Latinos, many in Texas and Florida. In such cases, the electorate may wind up more closely resembling 2020’s, when Joe Biden performed far better with Latinos than Kamala Harris did four years later.

Texas’ 28th, where Latinos make up 87% of the eligible voter population, offers a particularly vivid example. The new version would have voted for Trump by a 55-44 margin, but according to data from the Redistricting Data Hub and Dave’s Redistricting App, Biden would have carried it 54-45.

In the end, Republicans are all but certain to flip fewer seats than the 16 they targeted—perhaps only around half, and in the very best-case scenario for Democrats, as few as four. Democrats, by contrast, are likely to pick up all of the California districts they redrew, as well as the seat in Utah.

And above all else, this limited set of districts does not represent the entire House battlefield—far from it. Scores of races will be in play this fall, perhaps as many as 100. It’s for that reason that Trump’s plan to keep his lock on power through gerrymandering is so unlikely to succeed.


Again, if you appreciate the work we’ve done to compile and calculate all of these results, we’d be deeply grateful if you’d become a paid subscriber.


Data for all states with new maps was calculated by Daniel Donner. Maps and graphics were created by Stephen Wolf.

Thank you so much for being a paid subscriber to The Downballot! If you’d like to further support our work, you can donate on our ActBlue page.




Trump's Friday Meltdown: Begging Iran, Ditching Ukraine, and Blaming Everybody But Himself – 7/31/26

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