Friday, October 4, 2024

Jack's Brief

 


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On Wednesday, Judge Tanya Chutkan unsealed a redacted version of Jack Smith’s immunity motion. Now we have a clear view of what Smith believes is still on the table after the Supreme Court’s decision. The short version: just about everything. Smith acknowledges that the Court took Trump’s interactions with DOJ officials out of the case, but he argues that everything else is either private conduct that is fair game or official conduct that he can overcome the presumption of immunity for by demonstrating prosecution won’t harm the presidency—as if it’s not Trump who’s harming the presidency. Smith is going to make the courts tell him no, if they are of a mind to. His position until then is that he is prosecuting Trump on all of the charges in the superseding indictment.

Judge Chutkan issued a written decision denying Trump's request to keep the filing under seal. Trump did not seek a timely stay, so we now have access to the redacted version of the brief the government submitted for the public record.

Donald Trump might be able to make the federal prosecutions against him go away if he is reelected. But the taint, the stench (to appropriate Justice Sotomayor’s choice of words during oral argument in Dobbs), is something democracy wouldn’t survive. Jack Smith’s layout of the evidence against Donald Trump in Section One of the brief underlines that. Smith is focused on law, not politics, but past is prologue, and his brief, although he certainly didn’t intend it, is a warning and a call to action for American voters.

Smith goes straight to it in his opening paragraph. He’s not intimidated by Donald Trump or by the Supreme Court’s decision, which some people suggested might end his prosecution: “Although the defendant was the incumbent President during the charged conspiracies, his scheme was fundamentally a private one. Working with a team of private co-conspirators, the defendant acted as a candidate when he pursued multiple criminal means to disrupt, through fraud and deceit, the government function by which votes are collected and counted—a function in which the defendant, as President, had no official role.” Smith says that although the Supreme Court has ruled Trump’s efforts to corrupt the Justice Department in his quest to overthrow the 2020 election are covered by immunity, the rest of the allegations against Trump are fair game. He uses the 165 pages in his brief to establish that point.

We now know to a moral certainty why Donald Trump didn’t want the public to see this brief. It’s because he’s guilty. Not just in the court of public opinion. Smith has the goods on him. Unlike the January 6 committee, Smith had subpoena power and the ability to execute search warrants and use other investigative techniques, and he put them to good purpose. He also appears to have witness testimony that is new, for instance, details about Trump’s conversations with Mike Pence.

There are four sections in the brief:

  • Section One (P.3): An overview of the factual evidence the government expects to present at trial. This is the core of the motion, for those who want to read through Smith’s evidence against Trump.

  • Section Two (P.85): An explanation of the legal principles that govern determining what immunity covers. Also, a layout of the two-step process the court should use to determine whether each category of conduct the government expects to prove gets immunity. First, the court should determine if conduct was “was official or unofficial by analyzing the relevant ‘content, form, and context,’” to decide if Trump was acting as candidate or president. Actions of candidate Trump, Smith writes (echoing how we discussed this at Civil Discourse many months ago) don’t get immunity. Where Trump was acting in his official capacity as president, there is a presumption of immunity that can be overcome if the prosecution shows that “applying a criminal prohibition to that act would pose no ‘dangers of intrusion on the authority and functions of the Executive Branch.’”

  • Section Three (P.88): Smith applies the legal principles from Section Two to Trump’s conduct and “establishes that nothing the Government intends to present to the jury is protected by presidential immunity.” Smith says that while the conversations between Trump and Pence qualify as official, he overcomes the presumption of immunity, and none of the other conduct Trump is charged with is official.

  • Section Four (P.164): The government asks the court to enter an order that specifies that (1) Trump isn’t entitled to immunity for the conduct set forth in Section One, (2) that Trump can be forced to stand trial on the charges, and (3) that the prosecution can put on evidence of the conduct described in Section One.

This is the road map for the decisions Judge Chutkan will have to make before this case moves forward. And of course, it won’t go straight to trial. Trump will be able to appeal her decisions about what isn’t protected by immunity, and the government can appeal any decisions she makes about what is. Ultimately, the Supreme Court may weigh in, either by hearing the case or by refusing to hear it and affirming the Court of Appeals decision reviewing Judge Chutkan’s rulings, before the case can be set for trial. That could mean the Supreme Court adding the case to its docket for this term—if the Court of Appeals gets it to them that quickly—ordering briefing and oral argument, and not rendering a decision until as late as June or July. Look for the government to ask the Supreme Court to hear the case directly without waiting on the Court of Appeals. The government made that motion last time and the Supreme Court waved it off, but at this point, there is really no rationale to let the Court of Appeals try to speculate about what the Supreme Court meant in its immunity decision in Trump.

For so many years, people have hesitated to call out Trump in plain language. Smith does not. He starts the layout of his evidence like this, saying Trump “resorted to crimes to stay in office.”

Smith also identifies, by number rather than by name, a number of co-conspirators (CC) and persons (P) involved in Trump’s crimes.

Although their identities are redacted, there are a number of lists circulating on the internet where people try to identify them based on the content they are involved in. For instance, CC1 is widely believed to be Rudy Giuliani.

Smith previews the buckets of conduct discussed in the next 82 pages of the brief, signaling to the court that he will establish later in his brief that none of this conduct is covered by presidential immunity:

  • Trump’s formation of the three conspiracies charged in the indictment leading up to and immediately following the 2020 presidential election

  • Trump’s knowledge that his loss was not due to fraud, despite his persistent claims it was, and

  • Trump’s “increasingly desperate efforts” to disrupt the electoral process with claims of election fraud that he knew were lies

The first section of the brief is Smith’s layout of his evidence. That portion has received a lot of public attention. It’s a recitation of Trump’s crimes, and it’s worth reading; it’s written in a way that’s accessible for non-lawyers. But the legal issue that is the reason this pleading was filed is to determine what parts of Trump’s conduct Chutkan, and ultimately higher courts, will let Smith use. So we’ll focus on the portions of the brief where Smith lays out the standard for determining immunity and go back and revisit the facts when we have the opportunity. Smith’s position here is that Trump doesn’t get immunity for any of the conduct charged in the superseding indictment.

The Supreme Court’s decision in the Trump immunity appeal is one that, as we discussed at the time, doesn’t make sense. It purports to give a president the ability to do acts we clearly don’t want a president to be able to do in a democracy—the whole hypo about directing SEAL Team Six to assassinate a political rival with impunity. That’s where the Supreme Court landed, and of course, by the same token, they landed there only for Trump. He’s the only one in the current political landscape who would contemplate doing something like that (although the Court may well embolden future wrongdoer-presidents); the Court could only render a decision like this because it had confidence in Joe Biden’s integrity and good faith.

It was a supremely bad decision. Now, Jack Smith is giving them the opportunity to flesh out their decision in a way that undoes some of the damage. He offers them the chance to draw the clean and obvious line between acts of a candidate—acts that are not the official business of the presidency, and so not within the scope of immunity—and official acts of a president. He is also giving them the chance to clarify what they meant when they wrote that the presumption of immunity for “non-core” official acts could be overcome “by demonstrating that ‘applying a criminal prohibition to that act would pose no dangers of intrusion on the authority and functions of the Executive Branch.’” Smith says that while the conduct charged involving Trump’s pressure campaign to get Pence to refuse to certify Biden’s Electoral College win is official, it falls within this category, and prosecuting Trump for it will not damage the executive branch, so Trump is not entitled to immunity.

In other words, when this case returns to them, the Supreme Court can either let the case proceed to trial, or they can rule that a president can solicit his vice president to join his criminal scheme to overturn an election and that somehow, prosecuting him for doing that would damage democracy. It would be an “Alice in Wonderland” look at the law, the notion that somehow, it’s prosecuting Trump, not letting him get away with it, that harms the presidency. Jack Smith is betting that even this Supreme Court, and especially now with the public’s eye firmly on it, won’t go there.

Smith just wants a chance to try his case. The American public deserves that, too. We cannot go back to a time when a president, rather than give up power after losing an election, would be on the side of chaos and violence at the expense of democracy.

Image

In the debate Tuesday night, JD Vance tried to wish the insurrection away. His charm offensive was a thinly disguised effort to wipe the slate clean and pretend January 6, 2021, never happened. Jack Smith is getting the last word in that debate, though. He says it did happen, it did matter, and that Donald Trump, presidential immunity or no, can be prosecuted for it. JD Vance’s non-answer in the debate was a concession that he’s all in on Donald Trump’s past and present ambition to be president again, whether the American voters want him to be or not. Vance, who has said he would not have certified the vote count for President Biden in 2020, is on board for a redux.

Tuesday night, a reporter in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, asked Trump if he trusted the electoral process this time around, Trump answered: “I’ll let you know in about 33 days.” In other words, the process only works if he wins.

Let’s get on with the election so Trump can face justice in a courtroom.

We’re in this together,

Joyce


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Patriotism, Crime and The Need for Overwhelming Victory

 


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Patriotism, Crime and The Need for Overwhelming Victory

Liz Cheney joins Kamala Harris in Wisconsin. Jack Smith argues that Trump’s crimes are not protected by presidential immunity. The felon prepares to reject the results of another election.

On the same side: Kamala Harris and Liz Cheney in Ripon, Wisconsin. (Photo by Kamil Krzaczynski/AFP via Getty Images)

For anyone who cares about self-governance—that is, the right of voters in a democracy to decide for themselves who they want to represent them—there’s only one candidate to choose for president this year. Only one candidate is committed to ensuring this fundamental right, while the other is committed to taking it away and seizing that power for himself.

This is at the heart of former GOP Rep. Liz Cheney’s decision to endorse Kamala Harris despite her significant policy differences with the Democratic nominee for president. Yesterday, Cheney took her decision to the next level by joining the vice president at a campaign event near the Little White School House in Ripon, Wisconsin, known as the birthplace of the Republican Party in 1854. That joint event is a vivid example of Harris’ belief that she can expand support among Independents and Trump-reluctant Republicans.

Back in August 2020, Cheney said this about then-vice-presidential nominee Kamala Harris: She has “a more liberal voting record than Bernie Sanders & Elizabeth Warren. Her radical leftist views—raising taxes, banning gun sales, taxpayer $ for abortion & illegal immigrant health care, eliminating private health insurance—would be devastating for America.”

Fast forward four years. Last month that same person said this while endorsing the current vice president: “Those of us who believe in the defense of our democracy, in the defense of our Constitution, and the survival of our republic have a duty in this election cycle to come together to put those things above politics.”

It’s remarkable to me how many Democrats can’t look past their differences and still effortlessly condemn Cheney. As if the urgency of this moment does not require strange bedfellows. As if the duty to defend democracy and the Constitution against a depraved and degraded man who will toss it all away to seize power and pursue fascist rule does not demand both pragmatic and larger thinking.

Yes, I’m still angry with her and furious with her father for many reasons—particularly their fervor for the Iraq war and waterboarding—but count me grateful that they both have stood up in this moment against the danger of Trump returning to the White House. And we know that Liz Cheney, who was the third-ranking Republican in the House and lost her seat in a primary after refusing to support Trump, did not just disappear. She has remained a steadfast opponent of Trump and is now an advocate for Kamala Harris.

“I am a Ronald Reagan Republican,” Cheney said yesterday, adding, “I have never voted for a Democrat. But this year, I am proudly casting my vote for Vice President Kamala Harris.”

After the crowd chanted “Thank you, Liz,” she said, “Vice President Harris is standing in the breech at a critical moment in our nation’s history. She’s working to unite reasonable people from all across the political spectrum.”

She then detailed Trump’s attacks on our democracy and beseeched Republicans, “I ask you to meet this moment—to reject the depraved cruelty of Donald Trump and to help elect Kamala Harris president.”

After Cheney introduced the Democratic nominee, VP Harris summarized what’s at stake: “Who will obey their oath? Who will abide by the oath to preserve, protect and defend the Constitution of the United States?”

The crowd cheered: “Kamala, Kamala, Kamala.”

“Donald Trump lost the 2020 election. He refused to accept the will of the people,” she continued. “I believe anyone who recklessly tramples our values, as Donald Trump has…Anyone who has called on the termination of the Constitution of the United States, as Donald Trump has, must never stand again behind the seal of the president of the United States. Never again. Never again.”

Liz Cheney stood right behind her left shoulder, applauding.

This decision should not be complicated, surely not for anyone who looks squarely at the newly released, 165-page filing from Special Counsel Jack Smith that provides new details about the violations of Trump on Jan. 6 and seeks to make the case that the Supreme Court’s immunity ruling does not cover Trump’s unofficial acts. Among the unsealed evidence:

  • His rejection of the will of the people: “It doesn’t matter if you won or lost the election,” Trump allegedly told family members and others on Marine One following the election. “You still have to fight like hell.”

  • His indifference toward his VP’s life: Just minutes after tweeting that “Mike Pence didn’t have the courage to do what should have been done,” Trump was told by an aide that Pence was being taken to a secure location for his safety. Trump’s callous response: “So what?”

  • His refusal to face facts: Trump was repeatedly given evidence confirming that he had failed to win the necessary votes to hold onto the White House. He was told by one of his election lawyers that his claims of fraud would fail to hold up in court. Trump’s reply: “The details don’t matter.”

Here’s how Jack Smith encapsulated Trump’s actions: “When the defendant lost the 2020 presidential election, he resorted to crimes to try to stay in office. With private co-conspirators, the defendant launched a series of increasingly desperate plans to overturn the legitimate election results in seven states that he had lost—Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin (the ‘targeted states’).”

Wonder if he’ll try again? I’d say you can bet on it.

In Ripon yesterday, Kamala Harris said Trump violated his oath—“and he would do it again.” It doesn’t take much imagination to grasp the truth of that.

Not when he tells Evangelical Christians that if they vote for him now, they won’t have to vote again. Not when he says, as he did in August, “Our primary focus is not to get out the vote, it is to make sure they don’t cheat.” Not when he pledges to use his office to jail political opponents “for a long time.”

Three days before the 2020 election, as Jack Smith’s new filing notes, one of his closest advisers told supporters that Trump was going to declare victory whatever happened on Election Day. That adviser is surely Steve Bannon.

The safety of his vice president? “So what?" There’s no real fraud? “The details don’t matter.” He lost the election? “You still have to fight like hell.”

This is not simply a summary of what happened in 2020. This is a summary of what this depraved and callous man still thinks. Only his overwhelming defeat can successfully stem the inevitable flood of lies already planned to deny the ascension of Kamala Harris to the Oval Office.

The voting has begun. We have one month until Nov. 5. We all have work to do. How about sharing this with a fence-sitting Independent or Republican you know?

Trump FREAKS OUT about his crowd size TO HALF EMPTY ARENA

 

JUST A USELESS IDIOT...PROTECT AMERICA!


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POLITICO Nightly: The ‘News Avoiders’ who could decide 2024


POLITICO Newsletter Header

By Joanne Kenen

Freshly printed copies of the San Francisco Chronicle at a printing facility.

San Francisco Chronicle journeyman pressman Ray Lussier pulls two freshly printed copies of the San Francisco Chronicle at one of the newspaper's printing facilities. | Justin Sullivan/Getty Images


TUNED OUT — If you are reading this edition of Nightly, you are probably not a News Avoider.

And yes, News Avoiders are a thing.

Even during a wild, close presidential election where unknown numbers of Americans are compulsively checking and rechecking their favorite polling aggregator.

Roughly 8 percent of the U.S. population are news avoiders, according to the University of Minnesota’s Benjamin Toff, co-author of a book called “Avoiding the News.”

News avoiders aren’t just overloaded busy people, juggling family and jobs, who lack bandwidth to do much more than skim the headlines. Time is one reason people may skimp on news but it’s not the main reason that people avoid it completely, Toff told Nightly in an interview this week.

No, news avoiders are literally that — people who avoid hearing, seeing, or reading the news. They figure if something is really really really important, Toff said, “the news will come to them.”

For instance, word of the attempted golf course assassination of former president Donald Trump the other day may have “come to” them. But since Trump wasn’t harmed, they “won’t spend a lot of time dwelling on it.”

“They may have thought, ‘so, he wasn’t actually shot… End of story,’” Toff said.

There’s no prototypical news avoider but they do have certain common traits. They describe themselves as having high levels of anxiety — and news contains much to be anxious about. They are disconnected, thinking that most of the news “has nothing to do with them.”

And they are distrustful, with a tendency to equate news and politics, and to look at journalists and politicians as more or less one and the same, or in cahoots. They see both groups as more interested in serving themselves than serving the public.

They are mostly young and low-income — and their distancing from the news and conversations around news may perpetuate their low-income status. They are slightly more likely to be politically conservative, but plenty are not. More are women than men, possibly because women do have more of a time crunch because of family obligations. There is not a lot of difference among racial or ethnic groups.

Most news avoiders are not part of, and likely did not grow up in, high news consuming communities. They don’t work at desk jobs, where there’s time to surf news sites and where coworkers talk about current events. “They were sort of on their feet and service industry jobs, or they were working with builders or other kinds of roles where that just wasn't even an option,” noted Toff, who is now an associate professor at Minnesota’s Hubbard School of Journalism & Mass Communication.

But, we asked, news is everywhere. How can people avoid something so omnipresent? Other than squeezing their eyes shut and plugging their fingers in their ears? It turns out it’s actually pretty easy. It might be those of us who are big news consumers who are the outliers.

Toff told us that some news avoiders do get a bit of incidental exposure, say if a TV is on in the background at a place where they grab lunch. Or headlines they glimpse while commuting (if anyone still reads the news on a bus or subway nowadays.)

But most truly avoid the news and they tend to consume little to no social media, further insolating them from current events. Given that the social media platforms are now emphasizing less journalism, it’s easier for them to keep news-feeding algorithms at bay.

Some do turn to alternative non-journalistic sources of information, like Infowars. But even that’s not the norm for the true avoiders.

Toff, who did much of the research for his book several years ago while at the Reuters Institute for the Study of Journalism, has continued to study avoidance and the related challenge of declining trust in media. Most of what he finds, including that more and more people get their news in short snippets or from sites like Tiktok, worries him, as does the emphasis news outlets place on “engaging” their members and subscribers, rather than redoubling efforts to engage with the broader world. It makes him worry about the future of journalism — and for an interconnected democratic society for that matter.

“There are things that journalism does for society that no other institution can do, but it can really only survive if it has support from the public,” Toff said. “I just worry that the growing disconnection from journalism doesn't bode well for the future.”

Welcome to POLITICO Nightly. Reach out with news, tips and ideas at nightly@politico.com . Or contact tonight’s author on X (formerly known as Twitter) at @JoanneKenen .

What'd I Miss?


— Port strike ends, defusing a political time bomb: A dockworkers strike that threatened the American supply chain weeks before an election is over just days after it began and before inflicting pain on consumers . The union that represents tens of thousands of East Coast dockworkers and the shipping industry reached a tentative agreement on wages and are extending an expired contract through Jan. 15, 2025.

— NYPD arrests New York lawmaker with ties to Adams: Assemblymember Eddie Gibbs was arrested and taken into custody by the New York City Police Department today in his East Harlem district, according to witnesses. About 11 police cars pulled up while Gibbs was sitting with his brother in a car on Lexington Avenue, just outside the James Weldon Johnson Community Center, according to Frederick Thomas, a security guard with the New York City Housing Authority. Cops from the Strategic Response Group patted down Gibbs, put him in handcuffs and drove him away from the scene.

— Watchdog group suggests Biden fire Trump-appointed DHS inspector general: For four years, the inspector general for the Department of Homeland Security, appointed by former President Donald Trump, has criticized President Joe Biden’s administration for lax immigration enforcement. Now, a confidential watchdog report delivered to the White House on Wednesday is accusing the inspector general of abuse of authority and substantial misconduct — and it suggests the president fire him . A panel of other inspectors general from across the federal government, after investigating DHS Inspector General Joseph Cuffari for years, has concluded that Biden should discipline him “up to and including removal.”

Nightly Road to 2024

SITTING IT OUT — Vice President Kamala Harris suffered a blow today as the union representing more than 300,000 career firefighters and emergency responders declined to make a presidential endorsement , two weeks after the International Brotherhood of Teamsters made a similar decision. 

Leaders of the International Association of Fire Fighters gathered this week and determined “by a margin of 1.2%” against picking a candidate, according to General President Edward Kelly.

Harris has won the endorsements of an overwhelming number of unions. But it’s the second notable union-related setback in recent weeks for her campaign, which is strongly banking on organized labor to boost its outreach to working-class voters on her behalf — particularly in key swing states like Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin.

SPEAK ON IT — Since being tapped as Kamala Harris’ running mate, Tim Walz has had to explain a growing number of inaccurate statements — and at times embellishments — about his past. They range from comments about his military service to his visit to Hong Kong more than three decades ago to clarifying that his family didn’t specifically use in vitro fertilization.

It’s unclear whether Walz’s verbal errors will undercut his credibility with voters. But the need to continually clean up those claims could politically hurt Walz and Harris, who are locked in a tight race with Donald Trump and JD Vance. And in some cases, key members of Harris’ circle weren’t aware of some of the inaccurate statements until they became public despite the vetting process, according to four people familiar with the conversations.

RENEWED EFFORT — The Harris campaign is making a new push for Muslim voters , as it tries to hold off significant defections of left-leaning voters in swing states angry over the vice president’s position on Israel amid a growing military conflict in the Middle East.

Gov. Tim Walz is set to speak at a virtual Muslim voter event this evening organized by Emgage Action, a Muslim advocacy group that recently endorsed Kamala Harris and Walz while citing serious reservations about their stance on Israel. The invite, shared with POLITICO, said “both presidential candidates have left our community with difficult choices: one threatening the fabric of democracy, the other enabling atrocities in Gaza.”

REUNITED — Donald Trump and Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp will receive a briefing on hurricane destruction in the battleground state today — the first joint appearance by the two men since 2020 . Trump, who spent much of the last four years denigrating Kemp for not helping him overturn Trump’s loss in Georgia during the last presidential election, changed his tune in recent months as the current race for president became increasingly close.

AROUND THE WORLD
An oil refinery in Iran.

Iran's new $2 billion dollar oil refinery at Bandar-Abbas. | Jamshid Bairami/AFP via Getty Images


FEEL THE ENERGY — The risk of an escalating war between Israel and Iran is testing the global market’s faith that crude oil prices would be insulated from a widening of hostilities across the Middle East.

For decades, conflicts in the oil-rich region frequently spooked oil markets and weighed on the economy. But now, Middle East military skirmishes are causing more shrugs than drastic price spikes — a welcome development for the Biden administration, which has faced political criticism from Republicans over fuel prices and is trying to contain the fallout from Iran’s launch of nearly 200 missiles into Israel on Tuesday.

Increased oil production from the United States, Brazil and other places in the past two decades has diversified the global fuel supply, which means oil markets rely less on Middle East shipments that Tehran could disrupt, energy and security analysts told POLITICO.

“For those of us who spend our lives looking at the effects of a [Middle East] crisis on oil prices, obviously the past 10-plus years have been a complete washout,” said Michael Knights, an analyst at the think tank The Washington Institute for Near East Policy. “No matter how insane the thing is, it has a minimal impact on oil. The market has proven time and time again it can make up shortfalls.”

Nightly Number

9 years

The amount of time in prison that former Mesa County, Colorado, Clerk Tina Peters was sentenced to today for a data-breach scheme spawned from the rampant false claims about voting machine fraud in the 2020 presidential race.

RADAR SWEEP

NO ESCAPE — On the internet, pornography is everywhere . A report from BYU estimated that 12 percent of all websites were dedicated to porn. And that’s not counting sites like X, which have huge problems with pornography bots that can sometimes feel like they’re taking over the site. So how does this affect young Americans, who spend more time online than older people? For one, in general young women in particular have fewer moral objections to porn than their elders. But they also have a much more complicated relationship with the subject, sometimes trying fastidiously to avoid pornography or even the hint of sexual content. For the newsletter American Storylines, Daniel Cox looks into the issue, publishing a study and speaking with younger Americans about their experiences.

Parting Image
On this date in 1995: Rev. Jesse Jackson and Rev. Al Sharpton speak at a news conference in New York's Times Square after the verdict was read in the O.J. Simpson trial.

On this date in 1995: Rev. Jesse Jackson and Rev. Al Sharpton speak at a news conference in New York's Times Square after the verdict was read in the O.J. Simpson trial. | Mitch Jacobson/AP


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Jack's Brief

  Forwarded this email?  Subscribe here  for more Jack's Brief Joyce Vance Oct 4   On Wednesday, Judge Tanya Chutkan unsealed a  redacte...