Monday, August 1, 2022

POLITICO NIGHTLY: ‘Landmark operation’: U.S. kills al Qaeda Leader



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BY MYAH WARD

BREAKING — The United States killed al Qaeda leader Ayman Al-Zawahri in a drone strike over the weekend, three people briefed on the operation told POLITICO.

The strike was conducted by the CIA, according to two of the people, with one saying it took place in Kabul.

Ayman al-Zawahri sitting with Osama bin Laden in 1998.

Ayman al-Zawahri (left) listens during a news conference with Osama bin Laden in 1998. | AP Photo/Mazhar Ali Khan

Al-Zawahri was an Egyptian who took over al Qaeda after the U.S. killed its longtime leader, Osama bin Laden, in 2011. He never achieved the household name status of his predecessor, but Al-Zawahri’s killing is nonetheless a major win for the United States in the ongoing struggle against Islamist terrorism, especially as the United Nations warns that the terrorist group is outpacing its peers — like the Islamic State — as a long-term global threat, write Alexander Ward , Nahal Toosi and Lara Seligman .

In a statement to reporters, a senior Biden administration official said “over the weekend, the United States conducted a counterterrorism operation against a significant al Qaeda target in Afghanistan. The operation was successful and there were no civilian casualties.”

President Joe Biden plans to give a speech on “a successful counterterrorism mission” tonight at 7:30 p.m. ET. Head over to POLITICO’s homepage to watch his remarks live.

ALL EYES ON KANSAS — National media outlets have cast Tuesday’s abortion vote in Kansas as a barometer for how Americans feel about the issue in the post-Roe era.

Kansans are set to vote on a constitutional amendment drafted in response to the 2019 state Supreme Court’s ruling that the Kansas constitution protected the right to abortion. A “yes” vote on Tuesday would overturn the constitutional protection, opening the door for the legislature to further limit or ban the procedure in the midwestern state where abortion is legal up to 22 weeks — an immediate threat if Democratic Gov. Laura Kelly loses in November.

If voters push the amendment through, it could fuel other state policymakers to take the same approach in restricting abortion rights, according to Elizabeth Nash, a state policy expert at the Guttmacher Institute, a pro-abortion rights research organization.

“But if the constitutional amendment is defeated, then that really sends a signal that the public does not support abortion bans, and in fact supports abortion rights,” Nash told Nightly. “That may force some of these state legislators, who thought that banning abortion was important — it may cause them to reconsider.”

A recent poll from research firm co/efficient shows support for the amendment at 47 percent, compared with 43 percent of respondents who said they would vote against it. But as a survey researcher, Patrick Miller, a political scientist at the University of Kansas, said, the surveyors’ methods may not accurately capture Tuesday’s turnout, in particular among independents. These voters will be key in determining Tuesday’s outcome, and in this unprecedented vote, he said, it’s yet to be seen how many independents will head to the polls.

Independent voters often don’t have a reason to show up in primaries, which is why this amendment was put on the August ballot and not November’s — to give Republicans the upper hand, Miller told Nightly.

“I think it’s a fair assessment that the more independents that show up, the higher turnout we have, the better it is for the ‘vote no’ side,” Miller said. “But I don’t know how anyone right now has any solid grasp on what’s going to happen tomorrow.”

National media has zeroed in on the vote in recent weeks, but it’s important to note that this amendment has been in the works for years, he said. The Supreme Court’s move to revoke a right was unprecedented, and the Kansas vote is just one just “one datapoint of how abortion politics is changing after Roe.

But Miller does see a lesson for other states and the abortion rights movement across the country — the need to mobilize, and the need to keep voters engaged on this issue.

Hundreds of canvassers are knocking on doors to lay out the stakes of Tuesday’s vote, POLITICO’s Alice Miranda Ollstein reported from Olathe, Kan., today. Kansans for Constitutional Freedom, the umbrella group fighting to keep the constitutional protection — and legal abortion — in place, has raised more than $6.5 million. Yard signs have popped up across the state. Voter registration has skyrocketed.

But the anti-abortion movement in Kansas has been at this work since 1973, Miller said, whereas abortion rights advocates who saw little threat to the right have been playing catch-up in recent months.

“Their campaign was pathetic to non-existent until the Supreme Court leak,” Miller said.

Even now, Miller is receiving daily texts, door knocks and mailers telling him to vote in favor of the amendment that would empower the Legislature to strip away abortion access. He’s received just a couple of texts from abortion rights advocates, and even his friends who are registered Democrats have noted little direct engagement.

Abortion rights activists have found their footing in the state, Miller said, but the concern is the recent push hasn’t been enough to combat conservative mobilization and that the average voter isn’t aware of what’s happening on Tuesday.

If the amendment goes through, the effects may be felt well beyond the state’s borders, Nash warned. Kansas, one of the only states in the region where abortion remians legal, has been a safe haven state for patients in Texas, Missouri, Oklahoma, Arkansas and Missouri.

Welcome to POLITICO Nightly. Reach out with news, tips and ideas at nightly@politico.com . Or contact tonight’s author at mward@politico.com or on Twitter at @MyahWard . The long-awaited Trump endorsement in Missouri’s GOP Senate primary has arrived. Drumroll please … the former president endorsed … ERIC. Which Eric, you might ask? No clue, but both candidates with that name, Eric Greitens and Eric Schmitt, claimed they secured Trump’s endorsement tonight.

 

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WHAT'D I MISS?

— Texas militia member gets most serious Jan 6. sentence yet: A Texas militia member today received the longest sentence to date of any participant in the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the Capitol : seven-and-a-quarter years in prison. However, U.S. District Court Judge Dabney Friedrich declined the Justice Department’s request to treat Reffitt’s crimes as terrorism, which would have substantially increased the recommended sentence under federal guidelines.

— Eric Adams declares monkeypox state of emergency in New York: Mayor Eric Adams declared a state of emergency over monkeypox today — a move that lets him suspend local laws to better manage the city’s outbreak. The mayor’s emergency executive order comes after the city’s health department declared monkeypox a public health emergency on Saturday. Under that city declaration, health commissioner Ashwin Vasan can issue orders amending the city’s health code to slow the spread of the virus. Gov. Kathy Hochul declared a statewide disaster emergency on Friday.

— Former Democratic leaders blast party’s ‘risky and unethical’ meddling in GOP primaries: About three dozen former Democratic House and Senate members have signed on to an open letter blistering national Democrats for their meddling in this year’s Republican primaries , often to the benefit of pro-Donald Trump hard-liners. The letter, shared first with POLITICO, is the latest in growing backlash against the controversial practice, in which Democrats have been elevating far-right Republicans they believe will be easier to defeat in the fall. Signatories of the letter include former House Democratic leader Dick Gephardt and former Sen. Gary Hart.

AROUND THE WORLD

National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby takes questions from reporters.

SAFE PASSAGE — The United States will ensure that Speaker Nancy Pelosi has a “safe and secure” visit to Taiwan if she goes , National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby said today.

At a White House press briefing, Kirby repeatedly refused to confirm whether Pelosi would visit Taiwan, though the trip remains on her itinerary. But when asked by a reporter whether the speaker could be at risk of an attack from China, Kirby confirmed that the government would provide protection, writes Matt Berg .

Kirby today expressed concern about recent military activity on the coast opposite Taiwan and China’s continuous threats, which he expects to persist in the coming days. And last week, Biden told reporters that the U.S. military believes her potential visit to Taiwan is “not a good idea.”

 

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NIGHTLY NUMBER

More than 30

The number of listings POLITICO found from data brokers offering information on expecting parents or selling access to those people through mass email blasts. Democratic lawmakers are piling pressure on data brokers to stop collecting information on pregnant people in order to protect those seeking abortions — and they’re not having much luck.

PARTING WORDS

A video of a preview of Tuesday's primaries.

FIRST IN NIGHTLY — Here’s a sneak peek at Tuesday’s story previewing a big primary night around the country, written by POLITICO’s Zach Montellaro , Ally Mutnick and Natalie Allison :

Republican voters are picking candidates Tuesday night in Senate races that could help determine control of the chamber, two of the nation’s most competitive gubernatorial races — and a slate of districts featuring Republican House members who voted to impeach Trump last year.

All told voters in Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Missouri and Washington are heading to the polls on Tuesday. Here is what to watch for as the primary results unfold.

Setting the Senate battlefield

Republican primaries on Tuesday will finalize some of the last remaining questions about this year’s Senate map — chiefly, who will face Arizona Democratic Sen. Mark Kelly in what will be one of the most competitive Senate races this cycle.

And in Missouri, voters will pick from a crowded field of Republican candidates vying to replace retiring GOP Sen. Roy Blunt, including disgraced former Gov. Eric Greitens, state Attorney General Eric Schmitt and Rep. Vicky Hartzler. Voters in Washington state will also go to the polls to advance two candidates from their all-party primary system.

Swing-state governors on the ballot

Voters are also settling GOP races for governor in two top battlegrounds: Arizona and Michigan.

Trump has backed former TV anchor Kari Lake in Arizona’s open primary. Meanwhile, term-limited Gov. Doug Ducey, the co-chair of the Republican Governors Association, and former Vice President Mike Pence are among those supporting former state board of regents member Karrin Taylor Robson in a contentious primary that drew both Trump and Pence to the state. In Michigan, after candidates were booted off the ballot for signature fraud, Trump and the establishment have reached an apparent detente, backing conservative media personality Tudor Dixon.

Three pro-impeachment Republicans face voters

Three of the six pro-impeachment Republicans who decided to seek reelection will face the voters — and Trump’s wrath — on Tuesday. The most imperiled: Rep. Peter Meijer (R-Mich.), the only freshman to vote to hold Trump accountable for the Jan. 6 attacks.

A theme running through most of these races is “Trump vs. the establishment.” Tune in to POLITICO’s coverage Tuesday to see who notches more victories — key to the future of the party.

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Calder McHugh @calder_mchugh

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TOP NEWS: Sanders Says GOP Shouldn't Have Funded Wars If It Didn't Want to Take Care of Vets

 


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August 01, 2022
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