Sunday, November 19, 2023

True Colors








Informed Comment daily updates (11/19/2023)

 

What does the Gaza Conflict Mean for the UAE, the Abraham Accords and Saudi Normalization?

What does the Gaza Conflict Mean for the UAE, the Abraham Accords and Saudi Normalization?

Exeter, UK (Special to Informed Comment; Featured) – When the United Arab Emirates (UAE), along with several Arab states such as Bahrain and Morocco, normalized their relationship with Israel, this was believed to create leverage against Israel. Moreover, the UAE claimed this was their attempt to salvage a two-state solution. Indeed, when the UAE signed […]

How Colonialist depictions of Palestinians feed Western Stereotypes of eastern “Barbarism”

How Colonialist depictions of Palestinians feed Western Stereotypes of eastern “Barbarism”

Elizabeth Vibert, University of Victoria | – Like so many other Palestinians, my friend Abeer Salah (not her real name) lives in exile. For Salah, home is Baqa’a refugee camp 20 kilometres north of Jordan’s capital of Amman. But she has family and friends trapped in Gaza. Since the horrific Hamas attacks of Oct. 7 […]

The Hidden History of Hamas

The Hidden History of Hamas

by Akil N. Awan Follow @Akil_N_Awan on Twitter L ( The National Interest) – The savagery of Hamas’ heinous terrorist attack on October 7, which left 1,200 Israelis dead and over 240 more held captive, marked a significant turning point in the Israel-Palestine conflict. Israel’s response has been unconscionably brutal, killing more than 11,000 Palestinians […]

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Speaker MAGA Mike Johnson is the Face of the Republican Party: Election Denialist, Forced Birth Enforcer, Homophobe and Christian Zionist

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Axis War Crimes against Hospitals in the 1930s and 1940s led to our Int’l Humanitarian Law, which Israel Ignores




POLITICO Massachusetts Playbook: Transportation temperature check vvv



 
Massachusetts Playbook logo

BY KELLY GARRITY AND LISA KASHINSKY

Presented by

Conservation Law Foundation

TRANSIT VIBE CHECK — Few Bay Staters feel “very safe” driving on highways or taking any form of the MBTA. They think Gov. Maura Healey and the Legislature's handling of transportation in the state has been middling. And they’re concerned that traffic is not only back from its pandemic decline, but worse than ever, a new MassINC Polling Group survey shows.

And that lack of full confidence in the safety of the state’s biggest public transit system came before MBTA leaders said yesterday that they need an eye-popping $24.5 billion — yes, billion — to fix the T’s broken tracks, falling ceiling tiles and crumbling train platforms.

Just 12 percent of the 1,390 residents MassINC surveyed felt very safe riding the MBTA’s subway trains or buses, while just 17 percent felt very safe riding the Commuter Rail. A little under a third of respondents felt “somewhat safe” riding all three. The survey, conducted by phone from Oct. 23 through Nov. 6 and sponsored by The Barr Foundation, has a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.

Crime is the overwhelming concern for people who feel at least somewhat unsafe taking the T, followed by overcrowding. But 43 percent of respondents attributed their fears to those old, broken transit vehicles and stations in apparently pricey need of repair.

Meanwhile, more than half of those surveyed think traffic where they live is worse now than before the pandemic began in March 2020, compared to 37 percent who think it’s about the same and 7 percent who think it’s better.

And they’re not giving the governor high marks for her handling of the state’s myriad transportation issues: Just 7 percent gave Healey an A, while 23 percent gave her a B and 32 percent gave her a C. The numbers were similar when asked specifically about her handling of the T.

Maura Healey and Kim Driscoll on the MBTA

Gov. Maura Healey (left) and Lt. Gov. Kim Driscoll ride the Red Line. | Lisa Kashinsky/POLITICO

Massachusetts’ transportation troubles didn’t start under Healey — they’re the product of years of underinvestment and mismanagement. But this poll shows residents are still holding the new governor responsible for the state of their commutes.

For a governor who hasn't been in office for a year, there's a limit to what she can do to correct years and decades of underinvestment in the T. And there's very little she can do directly to redirect traffic congestion,” former state transportation secretary Jim Aloisi told Playbook.

But Healey’s administration has made progress. Phil Eng, the transit agency’s general manager, told the board of directors Thursday that the T has hired about 1,200 people — though that’s only good for a net gain of 599 workers because of other people leaving. And he laid out the work that will begin later this month to fix the Green Line Extension that opened with tracks that were too close together — a problem some at the MBTA knew about as early as April 2021 .

“Improvements at the T are going to be incremental,” Aloisi said. “It's not like turning on and off a light switch.”

GOOD FRIDAY MORNING, MASSACHUSETTS. Healey did fare better than the Legislature in the MassINC poll — only a quarter of respondents said lawmakers deserved an A or a B for their role in funding roads and rails across the state.

TODAY — Healey speaks at an Adoption Day celebration at 9:30 a.m. at Boston Juvenile Court. Lt. Gov. Kim Driscoll speaks at MAHP’s annual conference at 8 a.m., a South Shore Chamber of Commerce housing forum at 2:30 p.m. and the grand opening of La Colaborativa’s Chelsea Survival Center at 7 p.m. Auditor Diana DiZoglio joins a Diwali celebration at 3 p.m. at the State House.

THIS WEEKEND — Northeastern University professor Dan Kennedy is on WBZ’s “Keller @ Large” at 8:30 a.m. Sunday. MBTA GM Phil Eng is on WCVB’s “On the Record” at 11 a.m. Sunday. Healey is on NBC10’s “At Issue” at 11:30 a.m. Sunday.

Tips? Scoops? Email us: kgarrity@politico.com and lkashinsky@politico.com

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DATELINE BEACON HILL

SHELTER MONEY FALLOUT — As Democratic legislative leaders butted heads Wednesday over whether the Healey administration should have to open an overflow site for families being waitlisted for the state’s emergency shelter program, more than two dozen migrants were at Logan Airport trying to find a place to sleep for the night.

It’s the exact scenario lawmakers said they were trying to avoid. “We want to prevent people from sleeping in airports or sleeping in our streets,” House Ways and Means Chair Aaron Michlewitz told reporters after reaching a negotiating impasse with his Senate counterpart. He was likely unaware of the situation at Logan, where WBUR’s Gabrielle Emanuel reports 31 people, including 17 children, were told they couldn’t stay the night.

Democratic legislative leaders tried to downplay the consequences of not passing the $2.8 billion supplemental budget, which included $250 million for the emergency shelter system before formal sessions ended for the year. Senate President Karen Spilka told reporters “it’s not that unusual” for pricey spending plans to get done in informal sessions .

But what’s normally a routine spending bill to close out the last fiscal year isn’t coming under normal circumstances this time. The state’s overburdened, maxed-out emergency shelter system is projected to exhaust its budget in January. Dozens of families seeking emergency housing are being told this “right-to-shelter” state has nowhere to put them because they arrived a few days too late. While more than 70 families have exited the shelter system since Nov. 1, there were still 63 families on the waitlist as of Wednesday afternoon, according to the most recent data available from the state.

On top of that, Democrats are giving Republicans unusual leverage by resorting to informal sessions where one lawmaker’s objection can derail a bill. And Republicans in both chambers — who are already on record opposing the larger spending bill over its emergency shelter component — are telling the Boston Herald they’re willing to use it.

The blowback on the Legislature for breaking without a deal was swift. A spokesperson for Gov. Maura Healey , who requested the $250 million in September, said the administration “believes it’s critical to pass the supplemental budget as soon as possible.”

The Massachusetts Teachers Association was less restrained, saying its members are “shocked and, frankly, disgusted that state legislators, mired in their personal and petty disputes, failed to pass” the supplemental budget that included both the migrant money and collective bargaining agreements with raises for thousands of state workers.

OPEN LETTER — State Sen. Becca Rausch led an open letter to President Joe Biden , Vice President Kamala Harris and congressional leaders denouncing “antisemitism, Islamophobia, and all forms of hatred and bigotry, which have increased amid the bloodshed of war commenced by Hamas” and pledging to keep up educational efforts to “expose and reduce anti-Jewish prejudice.” The letter was signed by a bipartisan group of 288 lawmakers across 26 states, including 55 of Rausch’s Massachusetts peers.

 

GO INSIDE THE CAPITOL DOME: From the outset, POLITICO has been your eyes and ears on Capitol Hill, providing the most thorough Congress coverage — from political characters and emerging leaders to leadership squabbles and policy nuggets during committee markups and hearings. We're stepping up our game to ensure you’re fully informed on every key detail inside the Capitol Dome, all day, every day. Start your day with Playbook AM, refuel at midday with our Playbook PM halftime report and enrich your evening discussions with Huddle. Plus, stay updated with real-time buzz all day through our brand new Inside Congress Live feature. Learn more and subscribe here.

 
 
FROM THE HUB

— “The plan for a New England Revolution stadium in Everett has hit a speed bump — including concerns from Mayor Wu,” by Jon Chesto, Boston Globe: “Legislation that would have paved the way for a New England Revolution stadium to go up along the Mystic River in Everett was sidelined when state House and Senate negotiators failed to reach an agreement on migrant aid in a broader budget bill. … And later in the day came a new complication, when Boston Mayor Michelle Wu’s administration expressed surprise and disappointment about being left out of negotiations between the Kraft Group and the city of Everett over a stadium that would sit on Boston’s doorstep.”

— “Incoming Boston city councilor broke law, pays $5,400 penalty after promoting fund-raiser while still a city employee,” by Matt Stout, Boston Globe: “Enrique Pepén, a former City Hall official who won a hotly contested Boston City Council seat this month, broke state campaign finance laws when he promoted his campaign kickoff in a half-dozen social media posts while still working as a city employee, state regulators ruled."

— “Growing local calls for ‘cease-fire’ in Gaza echo through protesters blocking BU Bridge, Black pastors speaking out,” by Grace Zokovitch, Boston Herald.

— “Boston pays $2.6M to Black police officers who alleged racial bias in hair tests for drug use,” by the Associated Press.

 

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BALLOT BATTLES

— “Effort to get legal psychedelics on Mass. ballot hits signature snag,” by Walter Wuthmann, WBUR: “The campaign to legalize the use of plant-based psychedelic substances in Massachusetts is at risk of missing the 2024 ballot, after state officials found several 'disqualifying marks' on their ballot papers. A group of activists said the campaign printed a labor union logo on their ballot sheets, violating signature-gathering regulations and potentially invalidating thousands of signatures.”

— “Proposed ballot question to end MCAS graduation requirement gains momentum,” by James Vaznis, Boston Globe: “The Massachusetts Teachers Association has collected more than 130,000 signatures — far more than legally required — in its quest to get a question on next year’s election ballot that would no longer make high school diplomas contingent on students passing MCAS exams, union officials announced Thursday.”

MARIJUANA IN MASSACHUSETTS

— “Collins stepping down as cannabis commission executive director,” by Bhaamati Borkhetaria and Gintautas Dumcius, CommonWealth Beacon: “Two months after pushing back on a claim he would be leaving by the end of the year, Shawn Collins is resigning as executive director of the Cannabis Control Commission, the latest move to rock the troubled state agency whose chair was suspended in September. … The news comes as a lawmaker who has been critical of the agency is due to speak with Auditor Diana DiZoglio about his request for an audit of the cannabis commission.”

— “Cannabis worker’s death prompts call for steps to prevent work-related asthma,” by Felice J. Freyer, Boston Globe: “The state Department of Public Health on Thursday called on the cannabis industry to take steps to prevent work-related asthma, in the wake of the 2022 death of a 27-year-old worker from an asthma attack triggered by cannabis dust.”

 

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FROM THE 413

— “Young. Communist. Gun-owner. Multimillionaire. Pro-Palestine. Pro-Hamas. Berkshire landowner. Meet James 'Fergie' Chambers,” by Heather Bellow, Berkshire Eagle: “[Chambers] is a founder of Berkshire Communists, a group he headquartered off East Road in Alford (population, 486), one of the county’s sleepiest — and wealthiest — towns with no local police department of its own.”

— “‘The threat is real’: Easthampton council takes stand against antisemitism with wide-ranging resolution,” by Maddie Fabian, Daily Hampshire Gazette.

— “Fenton says he has the votes to return as Springfield City Council president,” by Ian Pickus, WAMC.

MEANWHILE IN NEW HAMPSHIRE

POLL POSITION — Nikki Haley keeps rising in New Hampshire, where Chris Christie is also on the upswing but Donald Trump remains the far and away frontrunner in the GOP presidential field, a new poll shows.

Trump leads the UNH/CNN poll of likely New Hampshire Republican primary voters with 42 percent support, followed by Haley at 20 percent and Christie at 14 percent. Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis , once Trump’s main competition in New Hampshire and nationally, follows at 9 percent and Vivek Ramaswamy is at 8 percent. The online survey of 994 likely GOP primary voters was conducted Nov. 10-14 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percent.

Christie said the poll matches what he’s seeing on the ground in the Granite State. Unlike 2016, “when people come to our events now, they’re sold. They’re not shopping,” Christie told reporters after campaigning in Portsmouth yesterday. He declared New Hampshire a “three-person race” between himself, Haley and Trump. Yet 47 percent of respondents still said they wouldn’t vote for Christie under any circumstances — the highest percentage for any candidate.

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HEARD ‘ROUND THE BUBBLAH

TRANSITIONS — Dylan Sodaro is now chief of staff for Rep. Gabe Amo (D-R.I.). Kate Michaud is district director.

— Justin Trudell will become president and CEO of Firstlight Power on Dec. 1.

HAPPY BIRTHDAY — to Ann Murphy , partner at Seven Letter; Aidan Golub, Alexandra Goodwin, Sophia Wang , policy director for Boston City Council President Ed Flynn; and Laurie Norton Moffatt .

HAPPY BIRTHWEEKEND — to Rory Clark, POLITICO’s Hailey Fuchs, Eric D. Roiter and Monica Rosales , who celebrate Saturday; and to Sunday birthday-ers WaPo’s Matt Viser, Sean Rourke, Evan Falchuk and Matt Barron .

NEW HORSE RACE ALERT: (THE PARENTS THINK) THE KIDS ARE ALL RIGHT — Hosts Jennifer Smith and Steve Koczela talk through new MassINC education polling. The Boston Globe’s Catherine Carlock breaks down the latest on rent control. Subscribe and listen on iTunes and SoundCloud .

Want to make an impact? POLITICO Massachusetts has a variety of solutions available for partners looking to reach and activate the most influential people in the Bay State. Have a petition you want signed? A cause you’re promoting? Seeking to increase brand awareness among this key audience? Share your message with our influential readers to foster engagement and drive action. Contact Jesse Shapiro to find out how: jshapiro@politico.com .

 

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Altemeyer on Trump’s Supporters

 

Altemeyer on Trump’s Supporters


 



When writing my book Conservatives Without Conscience (Penguin, 2007) about the authoritarianism that was gaining influence in the Republican Party in the early 2000s, I read most everything that social scientists had to say about folks with such dispositions. Particularly helpful was psychology professor Bob Altemeyer’s book for Harvard University Press, The Authoritarian Specter (1996). No one has done more ground-breaking work in testing the nature of these people than this professor, who was then at the University of Manitoba in Canada. A native of St. Louis who had done his graduate work at Carnegie Mellon University in Pittsburgh, Bob is also a keen student of American politics. Indeed, his son is in the business in Canada, and a member of the Manitoba Legislature.

I thought it would be helpful to many Americans to be exposed to Bob’s scholarly studies, and convinced him to write them up in a book for the general reader. He did, and placed it online for anyone to read for free. See The Authoritarians. (Last time I checked, over 670,000 people had visited the book, and hopefully read it!)

Bob Altemeyer saw Donald Trump coming. More accurately, he saw the kinds of men and women who would vote for a Donald Trump-type candidate for high office. These are people he described in earlier works as Right Wing Authoritarians, and Enemies of Freedom. Without going too deep into the weeds, let me note a few of these people score high on testing that shows they not only can be devoted followers of authoritarian leaders, the so-called social dominators like Trump who want to be in charge, but they also test high as social dominators themselves. These seemingly incongruous testing results—testing high as both followers and leaders—have been explained as the social dominators envisioning the type of follower they want as leaders, or their willingness to be good followers until they get their chance to become leaders. I labeled these “double high” people as conservatives without conscience, because it is a perfect description of those who top both scales in this testing.

When I started writing about these authoritarian personalities in 2005, I was looking for an explanation of the people who had taken charge of the Republican Party. That’s when I found Altemeyer’s work, which was (and still is) widely accepted. In fact, he was awarded the prestigious prize for behavioral science research in 1986, when the American Association for the Advancement of Science recognized his work. Working in 2005, I asked him what percentage of the American population might he estimate (or intelligently guess) were authoritarian followers, and he thought maybe 30 percent. Working on my book it seemed inconceivable that so few could ever elect a president. When Trump emerged in 2015 as a GOP contender, while I thought he could win the nomination, I was certain that was the end of the road: “Of only one thing am I absolutely certain: Donald Trump will never be President of the United States, so rest easy. Authoritarians remain a minority in America, thankfully,” I declared on July 24, 2015.

Authoritarians do remain a minority, but with non-voters and anti-Hillary Clinton voters, Trump pulled off a historic upset. It appears his core supporters remain faithful—regardless of what he does or doesn’t do. So, I asked Bob Altemeyer, what if anything would get through to the Trump supporters, given the fact Trump has shown himself, so far, totally incompetent as President of the United States. Set forth below in italics is material from Bob, who is now enjoying his retirement.

It took many months for Americans to stop supporting President Nixon during Watergate, and even at the end he could count on a hard knot of supporters who would believe him, as he said to [his chief of staff] H. R. Haldeman, because they wanted to. (NYT, 11/22/1974, p. 20). A few days before he resigned, 24% of a Gallup sample approved of the way Nixon was doing his job, including 38% of the Republicans polled.

Most of Donald Trump’s supporters are probably people whom social psychologists call authoritarian followers, because they are so supportive of the authorities they consider legitimate. These are the people Trump was talking about when he famously bragged that he could shoot somebody in broad daylight on Fifth Avenue and it would make no difference to his backers. They are the people who so willingly took the “loyalty pledge” at Trump rallies in the early primaries—even calling on Trump to “do the swearing” when he had skipped it.

We know enough about authoritarian supporters from research, and history, to know it will be very hard to change their minds about the leader they adore.

  • They are extremely ethnocentric, dividing the world sharply into people in their in-group, and automatically disliking all others. They feel politicians who promote minority rights and immigration discriminate against them. Donald Trump tells them they are right. He is their champion.
  • They are highly dogmatic. They get their ideas from others in the in-group, especially from their leader, not from evidence and logic. They say there is no evidence that will make them change their minds. They’re quite comfortable believing “alternate facts.”
  • They get great satisfaction from being part of a large movement. Being in a cohesive crowd at rallies thrills them because they silently tell one another, just by being there, that they are powerful and right. They create an echo chamber that reinforces the belief that all the good people think like they do.
  • They severely limit their sources of information. They get the news that they want to get. This also produces an echo chamber when the news sources they trust are copying each other and relaying Trump’s message.
  • They have highly compartmentalized minds. When an unpleasant truth forces its way into their awareness, they do not try to integrate the other things they believe with it. Instead they put it in a box and isolate it from the rest of their thinking, which proceeds as if the truth never existed.

Put all this together and you get an idea how hard it will be to change their minds about Donald Trump.

One can expect some of Trump’s followers to waver if the months ahead are thick with damaging revelations like those that brought down the Nixon White House. But a repeat of “Watergate-type scandals” may not damage Trump as much as they did Nixon.

Nixon had little means of communicating directly with his supporters. Trump’s followers eagerly await his tweets to tell them the truth they will believe and repeat to one another. And so far, they have apparently believed everything he’s said.

Second, the major news outlets in the 1970s were the three TV networks. There was no Fox News. And while there were some newspaper columnists and radio personalities who supported Nixon, today there are dozens of Trump-endorsing blogs that are on tens of millions of “Favorites” lists in American homes.

Third, Trump’s party controls all three branches of the federal government.

Given this gloomy assessment of how likely Trump’s support is going to weaken, it seems clear that the more effective strategy now is to activate the Americans who oppose him, who happily amount to a solid majority of the public.

Questions [people ask):

How do people get this way? Answer: There is evidence that authoritarian followers are more afraid than most people. And also, that they were trained in self-righteousness, and ethnocentric thinking in early age.

Will Trump supporters never change? Answer: Some will, if their personal experience shows them Trump has misled them or caused them grief, such as a loss of medical coverage. And if you anticipate a close election in 2020, these people are worth pursuing. But Trump will blame others, and his supporters will give him the benefit of the doubt more than most people will.

Isn’t all this true of Obama/Clinton supporters too? Answer: Yes, to a certain extent, but the studies show it’s much more prevalent “on the right.” If you want a generalization about generalizations, these things are about 2-3x as true among right-wingers as among left-wingers. Research has shown that “progressives” are much less ethnocentric, much less prejudiced, much more likely to be guided by logic and evidence, much more likely to have consistent ideas, much less likely to conform, much less likely to trust someone just because he says he agrees with them, have much more self-insight, and so on.

With that information in mind, from someone who may understand Trump supporters better than Trump does, it is clear that to prevail in 2018 and 2020, Democrats must focus on getting sympathetic non-voters to the polls, and bring back into the fold the anti-Hillary folks, who suffered from Clinton exhaustion—voters who are clearly not right-wing authoritarians.

The GOP just tried to kick hundreds of students off the voter rolls

    This year, MAGA GOP activists in Georgia attempted to disenfranchise hundreds of students by trying to kick them off the voter rolls. De...