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POLITICO NIGHTLY: The teacher shortage problem is bad. Really bad.

 

View in browser   BY MYAH WARD With help from David Siders A crowded classroom of students in New York City. | Michael Loccisano/Getty Images CLASSROOM CRISIS — As kids across the country gear up to head back to school in the coming weeks, they’re about to confront one big problem: There aren’t enough teachers. Nowhere close to enough. Schools are facing a shortage of 300,000 teachers and staff across the U.S., according to the National Education Association, the country’s largest teachers union. State and local leaders are scrambling to find creative ways to address the problem . In Florida, where Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis has said teaching requirements are “too rigid,” the state is issuing temporary teaching certificates to veterans. Arizona is no longer requiring bachelor’s degrees for teachers. In one South Carolina county, new teachers are being offered $10,000 signing bonuses. In rural Texas, some districts will only send kids to school for four days a week. To get a grasp on how serious and widespread this problem really is, Nightly talked with Christopher Morphew , dean of the Johns Hopkins University School of Education. This conversation has been edited. What’s driving the shortage?  First and foremost, it’s a pipeline issue, and this is part of the reason that there’s not going to be a solution that we can come up with overnight. We’ve seen teacher ed enrollments dip nationally over the last 10 years, a 35 percent decline . There are a couple of states that have grown their teacher ed population, but around 45-plus have seen teacher enrollment drops, with some states seeing upward of 70 percent drops. It’s been a long time coming. Then the question is, of course, why aren’t people enrolling in teacher ed programs? I think that’s a recognition on the part of students who might otherwise be interested in teacher ed, that salaries aren’t great, that working conditions aren’t great, that there are some real barriers to entry in staying in the profession. Schools themselves have become battlegrounds in some ways for politics. The profession has become more challenging, and as a result, less desirable to potential candidates. How did the pandemic add to this problem?  Oh, it didn’t help. When you take an impossible job and make it even harder, I don’t think it’s a surprise that some people think to themselves, “Maybe I would rather be doing something else.” Like any professional field, there were people teaching who had other interests and other skill sets and dreams. I think the pandemic forced their hands — gave them a chance to think about the opportunity, to think about pursuing those dreams. I think teachers across the country are sort of reassessing — in an era where they were asked to do even more — whether this was a job for them, or if they would rather be doing something different. So if they were near retirement, or if they were lucky enough to be part of a two-income household or if they had other skill sets, I think the pandemic was a catalyst for them exploring other opportunities as a result. How bad is this?  It depends on where you are, but, I think, really bad. Someone just forwarded me a press release from Baltimore city here in Maryland, providing some background — telling stakeholders and parents what to expect. Does this mean we won’t have enough teachers at school on the first day? Why will some schools not have enough teachers? I think it’s going to be pretty bad in some of the most challenging areas to teach where they’ve historically had a harder time attracting new candidates, and where attrition rates are higher — that means cities and that also means in rural areas. Those are going to be the two ends of the curve here. But this is just one piece of this. I was talking to a district official in another city a couple of days ago, and I was asking about their vacancies and she said, “Well, we’ve got the number down to under 30.” And I said, “Oh, that’s great.” This was a fairly large district. And then she said, “yes, but the fact of the matter is we’ve seen teachers teaching outside their areas of certification. We’ve seen that number increase from a couple of dozen, three or four years ago, to over 200 this year.” So there’s the shortage, which is perhaps the most acute problem, but the chronic problem is teachers who are teaching outside the area where they’re certified to teach. How do you fix this underlying problem?  There’s a supply-side piece to this, and I think there’s probably a demand-side piece to this. On the supply side, what we have now is a number of significant barriers to entering a profession that is very challenging. We have to be thinking about: How do we make this job as attractive as possible to high-ability people? That requires looking at financial barriers to entry. Can we reasonably expect someone to take out $50,000 in loans for a job that pays $40,000? Can we reasonably expect somebody to take on this job who has not been trained in mental health, when we know that some significant percentage of their students are going to require mental health support, and their school will very likely not have a nurse, a counselor or a school psychologist? So thinking about the job and asking ourselves the hard question, which is, why would someone of high ability take this job? The answer can’t be what we’ve always fallen back on, which is: They’ll do it for the kids. That’s not working anymore. On the demand side, we need to be thinking about issues related to the politicization of the field. We need to think about work conditions. We need to think about ways where we can enhance demand for this position. School districts have a role here. State policymakers have a role here. Schools of education, absolutely, have a role to think more creatively about the kinds of programs we’re offering and the preparation we’re providing teacher ed candidates. Welcome to POLITICO Nightly. Reach out with news, tips and ideas at nightly@politico.com. Or contact tonight’s author at mward@politico.com or on Twitter at @MyahWard.   STEP INSIDE THE WEST WING: What's really happening in West Wing offices? Find out who's up, who's down, and who really has the president’s ear in our West Wing Playbook newsletter, the insider's guide to the Biden White House and Cabinet. For buzzy nuggets and details that you won't find anywhere else, subscribe today.     WHAT'D I MISS? — Giuliani now a target of Atlanta-area Trump probe, attorney says: Atlanta-area prosecutors informed Rudy Giuliani that he is now a target of the investigation of Donald Trump’s attempt to overturn the 2020 election in Georgia, Giuliani attorney Robert Costello confirmed today. The former New York mayor had been slated to appear before the grand jury this week and it’s unclear whether that appearance will proceed. But the change in designation, which was communicated to Giuliani’s attorneys by special prosecutor Nathan Wade, Costello said, suggests the DA is strongly considering bringing charges against Giuliani for his involvement in the effort. — Justice Department subpoenas former Trump White House lawyer Eric Herschmann: A federal grand jury investigating the Jan. 6 attack has subpoenaed Trump White House lawyer Eric Herschmann for documents and testimony , according to a person familiar with the matter. Herschmann represented Trump in the former president’s first impeachment trial and later joined the White House as a senior adviser. He did not work in the White House counsel’s office, but did provide Trump with legal advice. Because of that responsibility, there will likely be litigation over the scope of the subpoena and over how executive and attorney-client privileges may limit Herschmann’s ability to comply. — LA district attorney recall fails to qualify for ballot: Los Angeles will not vote on recalling progressive District Attorney George Gascón , averting a second bruising fight over criminal justice reform in a major California city this year. Opponents of Gascón fell about 50,000 valid signatures short of what they needed to trigger a vote. Despite falling short, the recall effort reflected a fraught moment for the criminal justice reform movement that catapulted Gascón into office after 2020’s summer of racial reckoning. Democratic officials rallied behind Gascón as he vowed to implement a new vision. But rising anxiety about public safety has since shifted the political landscape, fueling the June recall of San Francisco District Attorney Chesa Boudin, Gascón’s successor and ally. — GOP slashes ads in key Senate battlegrounds: As midterm election campaigns heat up in the Senate’s top battlegrounds, the National Republican Senatorial Committee is canceling millions of dollars of ad spending , sending GOP campaigns and operatives into a panic and upending the committee’s initial spending plan. The cuts — totaling roughly $13.5 million since Aug. 1 — come as the Republicans’ Senate campaign committee is being forced to “stretch every dollar we can,” said a person familiar with the NRSC’s deliberations. Republican nominees in critical states like Ohio, Pennsylvania and North Carolina — places the GOP must defend this fall — have failed to raise enough money to get on air themselves, requiring the NRSC to make cuts elsewhere to accommodate. AROUND THE WORLD William Ruto speaking at a rally in Thika, Kenya earlier this month. | Ed Ram/Getty Images ELECTION DAY — Kenyans went to the polls to decide their next president today. Cara Anna at the Associated Press reports: “In a chaotic announcement that could foreshadow a court challenge, Kenya’s electoral commission chairman today declared Deputy President William Ruto the winner of the country’s close presidential race over five-time contender Raila Odinga. “The outcome was a triumph for a candidate who shook up the East African nation’s politics by appealing to struggling Kenyans’ economic concerns instead of their ethnic allegiances. Ruto received about 50.5% of the vote to nearly 49% for Odinga in last Tuesday’s balloting, the chairman said. But just before the declaration, four of the seven electoral commissioners told reporters they could not support the “opaque nature” of the final steps, without giving details. “Despite the last-minute chaos, the electoral commission improved its transparency in this election, practically inviting Kenyans to do the tallying themselves by posting online the more than 46,000 results forms from around the country. Tallies published by media organizations and others that took up the challenge echoed today’s results. “Odinga’s campaign has seven days to file a challenge in court, extending the uncertainty in Kenya, a country of 56 million people that is seen as crucial to regional stability. The Supreme Court will have 14 days to rule.”   INTRODUCING POWER SWITCH: The energy landscape is profoundly transforming. Power Switch is a daily newsletter that unlocks the most important stories driving the energy sector and the political forces shaping critical decisions about your energy future, from production to storage, distribution to consumption. Don’t miss out on Power Switch, your guide to the politics of energy transformation in America and around the world. SUBSCRIBE TODAY.     NIGHTLY NUMBER 22.7 percent The annual inflation rate in Estonia right now, making the Baltic nation Europe’s inflation hotspot . The sharply higher-than-average inflation trend in Estonia can be ascribed to a slew of factors including a scarcity driven surge in electricity prices and an exceptionally strong rebound of the Estonian economy after the pandemic, leading to labor shortages and higher wages. Still, a sharp reduction in purchasing power is worrying for many Estonian households. PARTING WORDS Bernie Sanders at a rally in Queens, New York in 2019. | Kena Betancur/Getty Images FIRST IN NIGHTLY — President Joe Biden’s recent run of good news isn’t stopping the left from agitating for an alternative in 2024, David Siders emails Nightly. After the progressive group RootsAction.org last month announced that it will launch a public pressure campaign to stop his renomination, another left-wing outfit, Progressive Democrats of America, is publicly applauding RootsAction for its “brave position.” In a statement shared first with Nightly, PDA’s executive director, Alan Minsky, doesn’t go as far as RootsAction, saying the group will take up the issue of a presidential endorsement in the fall. But it isn’t hard to read between the lines. “Indeed, you can rest assured that if a race develops for the Democratic presidential nomination — with or without the participation of President Biden — there will be a strong progressive challenger in the field,” Minsky said in a statement. He added, “There are millions of us who still love the sound of President [Bernie] Sanders.” Sanders, the progressive senator from Vermont, has said he will support Biden should the president run again. Biden has had a positive few weeks, with falling gas prices, cooling inflation and the passage of a major tax, health care and climate change bill . His job approval rating, while still dismal, has inched up. But the left still has other ideas. At PDA, Minsky said, “We believe the country, and our democracy, will remain in crisis so long as neo-liberalism remains the dominant political order. We’ve lived with forty years of neo-liberal rule and we see the catastrophic results all around us.” And if not Biden, who? Said Minsky: From PDA’s perspective, “the ball is in Bernie’s court.” Did someone forward this email to you? Sign up here.   Follow us on Twitter Charlie Mahtesian @PoliticoCharlie Calder McHugh @calder_mchugh Myah Ward @myahward Naomi Andu @naomiandu   FOLLOW US

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RSN: FOCUS: James Risen | FBI Raid on Trump Justice Department Official Signals a Criminal Investigation May Be Starting

 

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FOCUS: James Risen | FBI Raid on Trump Justice Department Official Signals a Criminal Investigation May Be Starting
James Risen, The Intercept
Risen writes: "Attorney General Merrick Garland has been criticized for not going after the powerful people responsible for inciting the January 6 insurrection."

Attorney General Merrick Garland has been criticized for not going after the powerful people responsible for inciting the January 6 insurrection.

Just before the House January 6 committee’s dramatic hearing on Thursday on former President Donald Trump’s efforts to use the Justice Department to overturn the 2020 election, the FBI raided the Virginia home of Jeffrey Clark, the former Justice Department official who worked most closely with Trump to try to keep him in power.

The FBI raid was overshadowed by the subsequent hearing, during which Clark’s efforts to conspire with Trump were laid bare. But the raid is significant because it provides a tentative sign that the Justice Department may finally be conducting a criminal investigation of Trump and his allies for their attempt to stage a coup.

Until recently, the Justice Department’s investigation of the January 6 insurrection seemed to be focused on the individuals who were part of the mob that stormed the U.S. Capitol to try to stop Congress from certifying the 2020 presidential election. Federal prosecutors handed out modest charges to many of those low-level rioters, leading to criticism that Attorney General Merrick Garland was not going after the powerful people responsible for actually inciting the insurrection.

But in early June, prosecutors charged the leader of the Proud Boys and other members of the white nationalist extremist group with seditious conspiracy — the first sign that Garland and the Justice Department were beginning to move against the leadership of the insurrection. Now, the raid on Clark’s house suggests that the Justice Department has expanded its investigation beyond January 6, in order to investigate the repeated attempts by Trump and his allies throughout the transition period between November 2020 and January 2021 to try to illegally overturn the election.

The evidence of a broader Justice Department investigation comes as the House January 6 committee has far exceeded expectations for its public hearings, uncovering damning evidence of the lengths that Trump was willing to go to stay in power. The hearings have turned into something like a nationally televised criminal referral to the Justice Department. It would be difficult for Garland not to take action in the face of the facts disclosed in the House hearings.

If a criminal conspiracy case is to be developed against Trump, gathering evidence from and about Clark would be a good place to start.

Clark is a conservative Washington, D.C. lawyer who has bounced between law firms, government jobs, and right-wing activism. After representing BP in connection with the Deepwater Horizon disaster, he joined the Trump Justice Department as assistant attorney general for the environmental and natural resources division, where he sought to delay bringing charges against a pipeline operator in North Dakota for a wastewater spill.

Clark was a total Trump loyalist, willing to do anything to help the president stay in power. In the midst of Trump’s frantic efforts to overturn the election, Clark was eager for Trump to fire acting Attorney General Jeffrey Rosen and then take over himself at the Justice Department. Once he was in charge, he planned to issue a letter to state officials in Georgia claiming, falsely, that the Justice Department had found evidence of election fraud and recommending that the Georgia state legislature should be called into special session to reopen the whole debate about who won the presidential election there. The unsent letter was filled with lies; the Justice Department had no evidence of election fraud. Trump had repeatedly been told by senior Justice officials that they had no such evidence, and Clark certainly had to know that as well.

Trump nearly fired Rosen and named Clark to run the Justice Department, and testimony from former Justice Department officials at Thursday’s hearing revealed that Trump was talked out of it only after a marathon meeting at the White House in which Rosen and other senior Justice Department officials told Trump that there was no evidence of fraud and warned Trump that there would be mass resignations at the Justice Department if he installed Clark.

Eric Herschmann, a lawyer who worked for Trump, told the House committee that he had warned Clark that if he took over at the Justice Department and sent the letter to Georgia officials, he would be guilty of a crime. That may explain the FBI raid on Clark’s home, where the Justice Department’s case against Trump may begin. Are Trump and Clark guilty of a “seditious conspiracy” a couple levels up from the Proud Boys?

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