Showing posts with label WILL HURD. Show all posts
Showing posts with label WILL HURD. Show all posts

Tuesday, July 25, 2023

POLITICO Nightly: The GOP primary’s newest hot button issue

 



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BY LUCY HODGMAN

Republican presidential candidate and former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson speaks to guests during Sen. Joni Ernst's Roast and Ride event in Des Moines, Iowa.

Republican presidential candidate and former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson speaks to guests during Sen. Joni Ernst's Roast and Ride event in Des Moines, Iowa. | Scott Olson/Getty Images

BATTLE LINES — It’s a presidential election first: the issue of gender-affirming care, especially for those under 18, is front and center in the 2024 Republican primary.

The bulk of candidates have taken hardline stances against gender-affirming care for minors, matching Republican state lawmakers across the country who have targeted legislative efforts toward restricting it.

Yet there also are a few voices of moderation in the GOP field, including former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson, raising the likelihood that the issue surfaces at the Aug. 23 presidential debate.

Hutchinson vetoed a ban on gender-affirming care for minors as governor in 2021, and has continued to oppose similar bans, citing concerns about government involvement in family life. Christie has made similar arguments , walking the line between the party's widespread opposition to transgender healthcare and traditional conservative wariness of government overreach.

“Parents should be the ones who work with their children to work through some of these difficult problems,” Christie said Sunday on Face the Nation . “You're talking about over the last three years, less than a thousand minors who have been involved in this in terms of transitioning in — in a country of 330 million people. That's what I'm talking about in terms of small, it's not that the issues don't matter. It's that they don't matter to the great, vast number of people in this country who want to be helped.”

At least 20 states have laws limiting access on gender-affirming care for minors, including gender-affirming surgery, as well as puberty blockers and other hormonal treatments. In response, Democrats in largely blue states have passed “shield” laws protecting access to care in the state, accommodating those who travel to receive care and the doctors that treat them. But given the financial burden of relocation and the long waitlists to receive care in states where it is available, lawmakers and activists alike are hoping that Congress will take larger-scale action on the issue.

In March, Representatives Pramila Jayapal (D-Wash.) and Ed Markey (D-Mass.) introduced a Transgender Bill of Rights, a series of protections for transgender people which includes “recognizing the right to bodily autonomy and ethical healthcare by expanding access to gender-affirming medical care” and “protecting transgender people from discrimination in healthcare.”

ruling out of Tennessee’s 6th Circuit last week marked the first time a federal court permitted a ban on gender-affirming care for minors to take effect. Now, Democratic state lawmakers are scrambling to secure protection against similar bans — and pushing Congress for more action on the issue.

“I would love to see, across the nation, standards that are set by our Congress, leveling the playing field from a legislative perspective,” said Vermont state Rep. Taylor Small. “ I think one way that we can get progress going on the national scale is when we see individual states stepping up, and affirming these rights and values that we share and hold. That only puts further legislative pressure to have this be a nationwide policy rather than piecemeal.”

Defenders of transgender medical care for minors cite the approval it has received by medical associations like the American Medical Association and the American Academy of Pediatrics as a potentially life saving treatment. Opponents have argued that youth lack the maturity to make life-altering medical decisions and have cast doubt on the long-term medical outcomes of gender-affirming surgery in particular. Gender-affirming surgery is uncommon among minors; according to one estimate , in 2021, about 42,000 children and teens across the United States received a diagnosis of gender dysphoria.

Bans on gender-affirming care have been challenged — and resoundingly blocked — in federal courts, including in Arkansas Alabama Florida Indiana and Kentucky . The Tennessee decision allowing a ban on gender-affirming care to take effect marked a “radical departure” from precedent, said Beth Littrell, a senior supervising attorney at the Southern Poverty Law Center.

With the ban in place, Tennessee medical providers will be prohibited from providing gender-affirming care to minors.

Youth who leave Tennessee to seek care would be protected under shield laws like the ones passed in several blue states, which largely exempt recipients and providers of gender-affirming care in that state against criminal charges originating in states where it is banned. In Colorado, Democratic state Rep. Brianna Titone sponsored such a bill adding protections for patients seeking gender-affirming care in the state, as well as Colorado providers who treat them.

Transgender youth and their families increasingly find themselves forced to travel across state lines to receive care . State Rep. Leigh Finke (D-Minn.) said that people enter Minnesota frequently to receive care now that the state is a “gender-affirming care island in the upper Midwest,” surrounded by states where care has been restricted. Many also choose to make those relocations permanent, she said.

“People don't want to go to a state to receive health care and then return to a state where their children or their own identities are being targeted,” Finke said. “So there’s more relocation now than we expected when we started this at the beginning of the session and I think that is a trend that will continue.”

Welcome to POLITICO Nightly. Reach out with news, tips and ideas at nightly@politico.com . Or contact tonight’s author at lhodgman@politico.com or on Twitter at @lucyehodgman .

 

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WHAT'D I MISS?

— Former senator launches bid for New Hampshire governor: Former Sen. Kelly Ayotte (R-N.H.) launched her campaign for governor of New Hampshire today , aiming to succeed Chris Sununu in a highly competitive race. After Sununu last week announced his decision not to run for a fifth term in 2024, candidates from both parties wasted no time joining the fray. In the GOP primary, Ayotte faces competition from former state Senate President Chuck Morse.

— DOJ sues Texas and Gov. Greg Abbott over Rio Grande barrier: The Department of Justice sued the state of Texas and Gov. Greg Abbott today for building a floating barrier at the southern border that the state says will deter migrants but that the Biden administration calls a threat to public safety. The lawsuit, filed in federal court in Austin, alleges that Abbott violated the law by building structures in the Rio Grande River without authorization, creating an obstruction in U.S. waters. Earlier today, in a letter to the Biden administration Abbott vowed that Texas won’t comply with the DOJ’s plans.

— Biden taps new legislative affairs head as spending fight approaches: President Joe Biden today named longtime Hill aide Shuwanza Goff as his director of legislative affairs , just in time for the coming high-stakes spending negotiations with Republicans. Goff, the first Black woman named to the role, will succeed Louisa Terrell, who’s held the position since the start of the Biden administration and steered the White House’s multitrillion-dollar agenda through narrow congressional majorities. Goff’s new role will be particularly critical in the coming weeks, given her amicable relationships with House Republicans, including Speaker Kevin McCarthy, as she takes on the task of navigating a divided government and a looming government shutdown threat.

NIGHTLY ROAD TO 2024

OFFSPEED PITCH — Former Congressman Will Hurd wants to show voters that he brings something different to the GOP presidential primary, writes Jazmine Ulloa in the New York Times. A Black Republican who has represented a majority Latino district and wants to broaden his party’s appeal , he is not, as he puts it, about “banning books” or “harassing my friends in the L.G.B.T.Q. community.”

It’s a hard sell in a primary that so far has been dominated by culture-war issues that are the focus of the front-runners as well as by the legal issues surrounding former President Donald J. Trump. Hurd has the most difficult of paths ahead. He has been on the campaign trail for only a little more than a month and is lagging behind his opponents in staffing, name recognition and fund-raising. The latest quarterly filings showed he had just $245,000 in cash on hand.

WIRED IN — Donald Trump’s presidential campaign is preparing to host hundreds of caucus trainings in Iowa. The super PAC effectively running Ron DeSantis’ field operation is collecting commitment cards in Walmart and Culver’s parking lots.

Iowa is the land of opportunity for Republican presidential contenders. And, with the exception of former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (“We don’t have an Iowa operation,” a spokesperson put it bluntly) nearly all of them have an Iowa-specific plan. Here’s POLITICO’s definitive guide to who’s wired — and who’s not — in Iowa , based on interviews with nearly three dozen Republican operatives, strategists and campaign officials working in the first-in-the-nation caucus state

DECISION DAY — Despite Donald Trump’s apparent inevitability, a baker’s dozen Republicans are hoping to become the party’s 2024 nominee for president. That is possible for any of them if the field narrows to a two-person race before Mr. Trump has the nomination sewn up. For that to happen, Republican megadonors and influencers—large and small—are going to have to do something they didn’t do in 2016: get candidates they support to agree to withdraw if and when their paths to the nomination are effectively closed. That decision day should be no later than, say, Feb. 26, the Monday following the contests in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina, writes Sen. Mitt Romney in the Wall Street Journal .

AROUND THE WORLD

Riot police try to clear demonstrators with a water canon during a protest against plans by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government to overhaul the judicial system in Tel Aviv today.

Riot police try to clear demonstrators with a water canon during a protest against plans by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government to overhaul the judicial system in Tel Aviv today. | Oded Balilty/AP Photo

INFLUENCE LIMITED — The saga over Israel’s judicial overhaul is showing the limits of President Joe Biden’s yearslong approach to swaying that country’s government, write Nahal Toosi and Alexander Ward .

Israel’s parliament passed controversial reforms today to curb the powers of its Supreme Court , making it harder for the justices to rule on policies passed by the legislative body. That came after a long, mostly quiet campaign by both Biden and U.S. officials to convince Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and his unusually right-leaning government to drop the proposals, arguing that they were too divisive to push through — especially as the nation convulses in protest.

But that monthslong, behind-the-scenes diplomacy broke out into open tensions in March when Netanyahu, who is on trial for corruption charges, denounced the “pressures” from the White House.

After the measure passed today, White House spokesperson Karine Jean-Pierre said in a statement: “As a lifelong friend of Israel, President Biden has publicly and privately expressed his views that major changes in a democracy to be enduring must have as broad a consensus as possible. It is unfortunate that the vote today took place with the slimmest possible majority.”

In 2021, as yet another war between Israel and Hamas-led Gaza broke out, the president privately urged Netanyahu to accept a ceasefire, even though he at first defended the prime minister in public. When a moment to stop the fighting presented itself, Biden openly demanded that Bibi end the strikes in response to rocket attacks. The Biden administration boasted that the end of hostilities after 11 days was in large part due to the private tough love that Biden prefers during tricky diplomatic moments.

Biden, who considers the bond between Washington and Jerusalem “bone deep,” tried the same play with the judicial overhaul. This time around, they weren’t so successful.

IN COMMUNICATION — The American-led U.N. Command said today it has started a conversation with North Korea about a U.S. soldier who ran into the North last week across one of the world’s most heavily fortified borders.

Andrew Harrison, a British lieutenant general who is the deputy commander at the U.N. Command, refused to say when the conversation started, how many exchanges have taken place and whether the North Koreans responded constructively, citing the sensitivity of the discussions. He also declined to detail what the command knows about Pvt. Travis King’s condition.

“None of us know where this is going to end,” Harrison said during a news conference in Seoul. “I am in life an optimist, and I remain optimistic. But again, I will leave it at that.”

 

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NIGHTLY NUMBER

$20 million

The amount of money that the conservative Club for Growth is preparing to spend to help reelect the 20 House Republicans who opposed Kevin McCarthy’s speakership bid. David McIntosh, the president of the anti-tax group known for antagonizing the party establishment, told donors he was preparing a $20 million defense fund to help “The Patriot 20”, according to a memo obtained by POLITICO. He warned that “moderate donor networks” were already mobilizing to punish those members.

RADAR SWEEP

FANDOM’S BIGGEST STAGE — What does Comic-Con — and superhero fandom — look like without some of its biggest stars? Given the Screen Actors' Guild strike, we just found out. Reporting from Comic-Con for WIRED, Elizabeth Minkel took us inside the San Diego event where fans, in past years drawn by some of the movie stars in attendance, this year were clearer about their allegiances to characters. The event felt like a throwback to earlier versions of the convention. Between superhero movies having a disappointing box office performance and the strike delaying production, could this year look more like the future of Comic-Con and fandom in addition to the past?

PARTING IMAGE

On this date in 1974: Two demonstrators, one (left) wearing a President Richard Nixon mask and the other wearing a Secretary of State Henry Kissinger mask and giving a Nazi salute, are escorted by police from in front of the Supreme Court building. The Court unanimously ordered Nixon to deliver tape recordings and other subpoenaed materials related to the Watergate scandal to a federal district court.

On this date in 1974: Two demonstrators, one (left) wearing a President Richard Nixon mask and the other wearing a Secretary of State Henry Kissinger mask and giving a Nazi salute, are escorted by police from in front of the Supreme Court building. The Court unanimously ordered Nixon to deliver tape recordings and other subpoenaed materials related to the Watergate scandal to a federal district court. | John Duricka/AP Photo

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Friday, June 23, 2023

POLITICO Nightly: How worried should Democrats be over No Labels?

 

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BY CALDER MCHUGH

Presented by

Alliance For Justice & Alliance for Justice Action Campaign

Former Gov. Larry Hogan (R-Md.) on Meet the Press with former President Donald Trump pictured in the background.

Former Gov. Larry Hogan (R-Md.) on Meet the Press with former President Donald Trump pictured in the background. | William B. Plowman/NBC via Getty Images

FEAR FACTOR — With former President Donald Trump holding a commanding lead in primary polls and leading or tied with President Joe Biden in general election matchups, Democrats are starting to get nervous.

And they’re channeling that anxiety into pushback against the centrist political organization No Labels, which has pledged to raise $70 million for a possible third party bid and to gain ballot access in all 50 states.

On the Hill, Democrats are pleading with Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) to abandon the idea of a run on the No Labels ticket . Opinion columnists are spinning out, arguing in one instance “The real danger in 2024 [is] not the Republican opposition, but a misguided gang of once-upon-a-time Democrats who call themselves No Labels.”

The progressive polling shop Data for Progress, which has done opinion polling for Biden’s camp in the past, has new polling out that suggests a No Labels candidate would siphon votes from Biden and enable a Trump victory. The analysis relies on polling that shows independents prefer Biden to Trump in a two-way race, and that in a hypothetical three-way race that included former Maryland GOP Governor Larry Hogan, Hogan would pull more votes from the Democratic nominee than the Republican nominee.

That prospect of a well funded third party candidate eating into Biden’s vote share is alarming to Democrats because of the likelihood that this will be a razor-thin race, especially if Trump is the GOP nominee. In his two previous runs for president, Trump has failed to reach 50 percent of the popular vote (he actually came slightly closer in 2020, with 46.8 percent compared to 46.1 percent in 2016).

Also fraying Democratic nerves is a fear of — and the inability to plan for — the unknown. No Labels currently has no clear policy platform, no candidate and has not committed to running someone in the 2024 election.

According to No Labels’ chief strategist Ryan Clancy, the group will make the decision on whether to run a candidate based on their own modeling — and they won’t run someone they don’t think has a chance to win.

Currently, their research shows Trump as a unique variable. “There’s about 20 million voters in the model that in effect say, ‘I like Donald Trump’s policies, but I don’t like or want to vote for Trump,’” Clancy says. That suggests a third-party candidate could cut into Trump’s numbers as well as Biden’s. But it also means that if Trump is not the standard bearer of the Republican party, it’s much less likely that No Labels will launch a presidential candidate. At the moment, the organization doesn’t believe there’s much of a path to victory for a third party candidate without Trump in the mix.

In mid-July, No Labels plans to release their platform, which they are calling “Common Sense,” in a reference to — you guessed it — Thomas Paine. According to Clancy, it’s “30 signature ideas, that based on a year’s worth of talking to the public, we feel like represent the will of the common sense majority.”

No Labels insists that while they haven’t begun the process of considering specific candidate names yet, they’re on the way to getting on the ballot in all 50 states, plus D.C. Currently, their tally stands at four: Alaska, Arizona, Colorado and Oregon — all of which allow for early ballot access for an organization without a candidate.

“I think one of the reasons it’s elicited such a negative reaction to date, mostly from Democrats, is they said, ‘Well, wait a minute, Arizona, Colorado. I mean, we need these states, why are they going after our states?’” says Clancy. “We’re not just cherry picking some individual states that we think are going to be important to a unity ticket. Every time the state opens up, we get into that state and get to work.”

In a nutshell, No Labels is unlikely to run a candidate if Trump loses, they haven’t yet released a party platform and they’re only on the ballot right now in four states. Still, for Democrats, it’s never too early for panic mode.

Welcome to POLITICO Nightly. Reach out with news, tips and ideas at nightly@politico.com . Or contact tonight’s author at cmchugh@politico.com or on Twitter at @calder_mchugh .

 

A message from Alliance For Justice & Alliance for Justice Action Campaign:

Clarence Thomas Broke the Law.
While Justice Thomas was helping strike down abortion and voting rights and sensible gun laws, a far-right, billionaire donor was rewarding him with secret, all-expense paid luxury vacations, unfair real estate deals, and free private school tuition for a relative. It’s not just unethical. It’s illegal. It’s time for Justice Thomas to resign. Sign our petition.

 
WHAT'D I MISS?

— House punts on GOP hardliners’ Biden impeachment push: The Republican-controlled House voted today to slow down a conservative push to quickly impeach President Joe Biden on a 219-208 vote . The move stops short of a historic impeachment vote but appeases GOP hardliners who had agitated for more action. It effectively punts impeachment articles against Biden to two committees that are already investigating his administration.

— George Santos’ father and aunt backed his bail bond, court papers show: Two of Rep. George Santos’ family members guaranteed the bail bond on which the indicted congressman was released last month , according to court papers filed today despite Santos’ bid to keep their identities private. The first-term Republican’s father, Gercino dos Santos, and his aunt, Elma Preven, were disclosed as the individuals, known as sureties, who guaranteed the $500,000 bond, meaning they would be legally responsible for the money if Santos were to flee.

— FTC, Microsoft spar in court over Activision deal: The Federal Trade Commission kicked off a five-day hearing over Microsoft’s $69 billion takeover of video game giant Activision Blizzard, urging a federal judge to temporarily pause the deal from closing before a full trial can take place. If the deal is completed, the combined company “is likely to have the ability to harm competition in various markets related to consoles, subscription services and the cloud,” FTC lawyer James Weingarten said in his opening statement. Weingarten said Microsoft has justified the deal internally with the possibility of making popular Activision games like Call of Duty exclusive to its platforms.

 

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NIGHTLY ROAD TO 2024

TIGHT LIPPED — Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis declined today to say whether he would support Donald Trump if the former president becomes the Republican nominee to challenge President Joe Biden in 2024, writes POLITICO’s Gary Fineout.

DeSantis, who launched his own presidential campaign last month, was asked whether he would “support” in the wake of Trump’s recent barrage of criticism over the governor’s handling of Covid-19. DeSantis sidestepped that part of the question and instead said Trump was “full of it” for criticizing how DeSantis responded to the Covid-19 pandemic.

CLASSROOM SCUFFLE — The DeSantis administration sued the U.S. Education Department and top federal officials this week , claiming they are impeding efforts by Florida universities to switch accreditors — a significant priority for state Republicans, writes POLITICO’s Andrew Atterbury.

Florida’s suit is challenging federal rules governing accreditation boards that Gov. Ron DeSantis contends wield too much power over schools and are circumventing policies and decisions from state leaders. The lawsuit marks the latest legal battle between DeSantis, a Republican presidential candidate, and the Biden administration as the sides continue to clash over an unrelated high-profile immigration dispute.

“Within the next couple years, I think we’re going to see this accreditation cartel basically come crumbling down and more freedom in higher education reigning supreme,” DeSantis said today at an event in Tampa announcing the lawsuit.

THE EVER-EXPANDING GOP PRIMARY — Former GOP Rep. Will Hurd announced today he is running for president, becoming the first Texan with experience in elective office to enter the Republican primary , reports the Texas Tribune.

Hurd, who represented Texas in Congress from 2015-21, begins his campaign as a major underdog. He is an unabashed moderate and a Donald Trump critic in a party where many remain loyal to the former president and frontrunner for the 2024 Republican nomination.

Hurd revealed his decision in a morning interview on CBS and followed it up online with an announcement video that began with Hurd listing illegal immigration, inflation and other problems before addressing the current and former presidents.

 

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AROUND THE WORLD

Russian gas tanker Rudolf Samoylovich, sailing under the flag of Bahamas, moors at a dock in western France.

Russian gas tanker Rudolf Samoylovich, sailing under the flag of Bahamas, moors at a dock in western France. | Loic Venance/AFP via Getty Images

TANKERS NOT WELCOME — Hundreds of tankers could be barred from European ports as part of a new effort to crack down on illicit sales of Russian crude oil that Western nations fear are helping fund the war in Ukraine, writes Gabriel Gavin .

After weeks of tense negotiations, EU countries finally signed off on the 11th package of sanctions to be imposed on Moscow in just over a year. But instead of introducing new restrictions, draft documents seen by POLITICO show Brussels’ focus is now on tightening loopholes in existing rules, creating powers for secondary sanctions and naming and shaming companies that fall foul of the rules.

"Attempts to circumvent Union restrictive measures have resulted in a sharp increase of deceptive practices by vessels transporting Russian crude oil and petroleum products," the text of the Council decision reads.

Officials are concerned about the so-called shadow fleet of hundreds of aging tankers carrying Russian oil, potentially bought at prices above the $60 per barrel price cap imposed by the G7.

DAMAGE CONTROL — President Joe Biden said today that his comment about “dictators” when referring to Xi Jinping would not affect recent progress in U.S.-China relations , writes Lucy Hodgman .

Biden used the term on Tuesday during a campaign event in Kentfield, Calif., while discussing a Chinese spy balloon that the U.S. downed in February. When asked about the comment during a news conference with Prime Minister Narendra Modi of India today, Biden said he expected to meet with the Chinese president sometime in the near future, adding that he did not think the incident “had any real consequence.”

Despite Biden’s saying that diplomatic relations would be unharmed by the “dictator” comment, it appears to have stirred unrest in China. The Chinese government registered a formal protest earlier today and also reportedly summoned the U.S. ambassador to Beijing, R. Nicholas Burns, for an official reprimand over the comment.

 

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NIGHTLY NUMBER

$2.75 billion

The cost of a new U.S.-backed semiconductor assembly and test facility that will be built in India , according to U.S. officials who announced the project ahead of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s visit to the White House today. Utah-based Micron Technology is making an investment of more than $800 million in the project, which will also be partially funded by support from Indian authorities. Biden and Modi also announced a landmark deal for General Electric to build military jet engines in India with Hindustan Aeronautics, a state-owned company.

RADAR SWEEP

HUMAN AUTOMATION — Since we’ve seen the power of ChatGPT and other artificial intelligence tools, there’s been increasing fear about AI taking human jobs. Tasks that could once only be done by humans can now be automated — up to a point. Based on current and plausibly future AI technology, humans still need to input directions to AI ; that’s not always simple. So, rather than replacing jobs, AI often just changes them dramatically. Josh Dzieza reports for The Verge about this potential coming shift in the economy and the practical effects we’re already seeing.

PARTING IMAGE

On this date in 1992: A wounded civilian gets help after heavy shelling in central Sarajevo which killed at least seven people and wounded dozens.

On this date in 1992: A wounded civilian gets help after heavy shelling in central Sarajevo which killed at least seven people and wounded dozens. | Santiago Lyon/AP Photo

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It’s time for Clarence Thomas to Resign.

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MAGA's Jimmy Patronis Wants To Legalize Machine Guns.

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