Monday, November 25, 2024

POLITICO Nightly: The Democratic recriminations have begun. They need to include Biden.


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By Charlie Mahtesian

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Joe Biden waves.

President Joe Biden after speaking in the Rose Garden on Nov. 7 | Susan Walsh/AP


BRIDGE TO NOWHERE — New York’s lieutenant governor came right out and said it: Joe Biden should have never run for a second term.

Antonio Delgado’s announcement last week in the very public forum of a New York Times op-ed was widely noticed, but it didn’t generate a tremendous amount of buzz. It’s an opinion that’s been held by many Democrats for a long time. Various operatives and activists have been saying it privately and aloud since Biden’s catastrophic debate performance in July, and especially in the aftermath of Election Day.

But prominent Democratic officeholders have not been saying it publicly. And they haven’t been saying it quite so explicitly as Delgado.

Yet a frank discussion of Biden’s personal culpability in Donald Trump’s victory is a necessary first step on the party’s long road back to winning the trust of the American electorate. Democrats need to better understand why turnout dropped off. They need to figure out why so many of their traditional constituencies shifted right. And the party also must take an unflinching look at whether Biden’s vanity cost them the White House.

The discussion about what went wrong has already started. Referring to the Nov. 5 election results as “a cataclysmic event for the Democratic party,” Connecticut Sen. Chris Murphy, for one, circulated a strategy memo last week noting that “[o]ur future success as a party hinges on our ability and our willingness to listen to what voters are telling us.” In Murphy’s assessment, Democrats must reclaim their identity as the party of the working class .

But no serious election post-mortem can sidestep the role Biden’s decision to run for a second term played in shaping the landscape. He never actually said he’d only serve one term as president, but it was strongly implied by his advanced age (77 years old when he ran in 2020), and his reference to himself as a “bridge” to an “entire generation of leaders.”

Within two years of his taking the oath of office, voters made clear they were ready to move on: According to 2022 exit polls in Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — four of the seven swing states in 2024 — more than two-thirds of voters said they didn’t want Biden to run again.

Yet he ran anyway, with disastrous consequences. His approval rating remained underwater the entire time he was a candidate. Despite signs he was physically slowing down, party officials closed ranks around him, squelching any debate about his fitness for a second term. It all caught up to him after a debate performance so calamitous that he had to end his bid, handing the nomination to Vice President Kamala Harris. She had roughly four months to mount a campaign.

The issue isn’t so much about pointing fingers at Biden, who achieved much in his four years as president. It’s about assessing whether Americans felt their president broke an implied promise not to run again, and whether they punished his party for enabling him to do so — both wittingly and unwittingly. Americans had already noticed signs he might not be up to the task of serving another four years in the White House. Yet they were repeatedly told none of their concerns were valid.

Biden can't be pinned with the responsibility for losing every swing state, for the loss of the Senate or for the splintering of the Democratic coalition. There were plenty of other forces at play. But it’s still worth exploring whether Biden’s reluctance to give up power alienated voters, as well as the party’s willingness to facilitate him. When Delgado, for example, called for Biden to drop his reelection bid in the immediate wake of the July debate, he was browbeaten for his lack of fealty and accused of undermining Democratic efforts to defeat Trump.

Biden, who hasn’t publicly reflected on his defeat so far, insisted even after dropping out of the race he would have beaten Trump . But that’s not a commonly held opinion . The point is moot in any case. What’s more important for the party is understanding the damage done by the president’s decision to run again, rather than his decision to leave the race, and to have those discussions in the open — not off the record.

Welcome to POLITICO Nightly. Reach out with news, tips and ideas at nightly@politico.com . Or contact tonight’s author at cmahtesian@politico.com or on X (formerly known as Twitter) at @PoliticoCharlie .

 

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LEGAL OPINIONS EXPLAINED IN DETAIL ELSEWHERE...

— Special counsel Jack Smith moves to drop both federal criminal cases against Trump: Special counsel Jack Smith is seeking to drop his two criminal cases against President-elect Donald Trump , saying Justice Department policy bars continuing the prosecutions after Trump’s imminent inauguration. In court filings today, Smith said he consulted with Justice Department officials about whether an ongoing prosecution against a person elected president might continue. Officials in the department’s Office of Legal Counsel, Smith said, concluded that a longstanding prohibition on prosecuting a sitting president would apply to pending cases against Trump.

— Trump backs Florida’s chief financial officer as successor to Gaetz in Congress: President-elect Donald Trump is throwing his support behind Florida’s chief financial officer as his choice to succeed former Rep. Matt Gaetz in Congress, a move that could increase pressure on Gov. Ron DeSantis to pick allies to the president-elect for other posts. Trump today said on social media that he would support Republican Jimmy Patronis for the now-vacant northwest Florida congressional seat that Gaetz gave up during his truncated bid for attorney general. Gaetz withdrew from consideration amid an outcry over investigations into his conduct even though he has denied any wrongdoing.

— DNC announces candidate forums, sets chair election for Feb. 1: The Democratic National Committee announced today that it will hold its chair’s election on Feb. 1 , an early indicator of the party’s direction following Kamala Harris’ stinging loss this month. The contest will be held at the committee’s winter meeting at the National Harbor in Maryland that begins on Jan. 30 and culminates with the election on Feb. 1. Throughout January, the DNC will host four candidate forums, some of which will be in-person and others of which will be virtual.

 

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THE NEXT ADMINISTRATION

WHAT ABOUT HIS INVESTMENTS IN CHINA? WHO'S ASKING? 

WALL STREET WINNER — After a series of unorthodox Cabinet picks that shocked the policy world, Trump’s choice of Scott Bessent, the 62-year-old hedge fund executive, is being praised by Wall Street heavyweights who had hoped the president-elect would select a more traditional candidate for his administration’s most powerful economic post. While Bessent — once the chief investor at financier George Soros’ firm — has been a vocal proponent of Trump’s agenda, he’s also viewed as a realist who will understand how policy shifts might ripple across markets and the global economy.

“The biggest risk is that you have ideologues pursuing policy regardless of consequence,” said Unlimited Funds CEO Bob Elliott. “The thing about a person who has run money for several decades is that they — almost by definition — have to be agile and responsive to market conditions. It’s in their blood.”

HERE’S THE PITCH Sen. Joni Ernst is pitching President-elect Donald Trump’s so-called Department of Government Efficiency on more than $2 trillion proposed cuts or savings — the latest example of GOP lawmakers embracing the commission.

Ernst (R-Iowa) sent a letter today to Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy, who Trump tapped to lead the out-of-government panel tasked with coordinating with the White House and Office of Management and Budget. Among the ideas being pitched by Ernst: consolidating government office space and auctioning off unused space, changing the composition of the penny and curbing payments to the United Nations. (IGNORING WHO CREATED THE UN & WHY IT WAS CREATED)

THIEL-ITE AT HHS — President-elect Donald Trump is considering nominating Jim O’Neill , an associate of billionaire investor and early Trump backer Peter Thiel, as HHS deputy secretary, three people familiar with the deliberation granted anonymity to discuss transition planning told POLITICO.

O’Neill held several roles at HHS during the George W. Bush administration including principal associate deputy secretary — but he does not have formal medical training.

 

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AROUND THE WORLD
Calin Georgescu, an independent candidate for president, is seen in Bucharest, Romania, on Oct. 1, 2024.

Calin Georgescu, an independent candidate for president of Romania, is seen in Bucharest on Oct. 1. | Alexandru Dobre/AP


SHOCKING RISE — Călin Georgescu barely registered in national opinion polls, didn’t take part in big TV debates, and doesn’t even belong to a political party. But he’s now leading the race to become Romania’s next president .

His shock rise from obscurity Sunday in the first round of the country’s presidential election propelled the 62-year-old Georgescu, a far-right, NATO-skeptic Russia fan, into a run-off against a more mainstream candidate.

The Dec. 8 deciding round of the election will determine whether Georgescu takes charge of this strategically-placed nation of 19 million people, which borders Ukraine on the eastern edge of the European Union.

Until now, Romania has played a supportive role in the West’s backing for Ukraine, opening the Port of Constanţa as a vital route to ship Ukrainian grain exports out and send military supplies in. The war has also raised the strategic importance of the Mihail Kogălniceanu air base on the Black Sea, which is on course to become NATO’s largest.

NOT SO GREENWASHED — The European Commission will radically simplify EU green regulations in a bid to jumpstart Europe’s struggling industry and compete with faster-growing economies in Asia and America.

The changes will affect three laws that force companies to take more responsibility for their environmental impacts, European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen said. Business had complained these rules were complicated and onerous, and suffocated Europe’s competitiveness. It’s a decisive pivot away from the Green Deal program of the last five years, which put climate and the environment at the center of European lawmaking.

Nightly Number

MUST READ!

Up to $154 million

The amount that Macy’s says an employee hid in expenses over several years . The department store chain, which also operates Bloomingdale’s and Bluemercury cosmetics, delayed the release of its full Q3 earnings report after it identified the issue.

 

Don't just read headline s—guide your organization's next move. POLITICO Pro's comprehensive Data Analysis tracks power shifts in Congress, ballot measures, and committee turnovers, giving you the deep context behind every policy decision. Learn more about what POLITICO Pro can do for you .

 
 
RADAR SWEEP

ON THE ROAD — While it might seem mostly like a daring hobby, professional drag racing has become mostly standardized — with the cars all looking the same and maintaining the same component parts. It didn’t always used to be that way, though. People with three wheels on their car or with two engines were frequent racers once upon a time. And while drag races of the pro variety now have lots more rules, many of the people who continue to be fans of the sport and work on the cars are “gearheads,” who are obsessed with the mechanical and technical side of drag racing . For Harpers, Rachel Kushner took a deep look at the culture of drag racing, its history and what it means today.

Parting Image
Representatives of all branches of the military act as pall bearers during the funeral of President John F. Kennedy as they leave following funeral services at St. Matthew's Cathedral in Washington, Nov. 25, 1963. Behind them are members of the Kennedy family, with widow Jacqueline Kennedy in front holding the hands of her young children, Caroline, left, and John Jr. The president's brothers, Sen. Edward M. Kennedy (D-Mass.) and Attorney General Robert F. Kennedy are behind her with other members of the family around them. (AP Photo)

On this date in 1963: Representatives of all branches of the military act as pallbearers during the funeral of President John F. Kennedy as they leave following funeral services at St. Matthew's Cathedral in Washington. | AP



 

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Samantha Latson contributed to this newsletter.

 

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Charlie Mahtesian @PoliticoCharlie

Calder McHugh @calder_mchugh

 

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