Tuesday, June 28, 2022

POLITICO NIGHTLY: The case against Trump grows ‘stronger and stronger’ PRIMARIES in Colorado, Illinois, New York , Oklahoma and Utah, runoffs in Mississippi and South Carolina, and a special election in Nebraska’s 1st Congressional District.

 


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BY MYAH WARD

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ELECTION NIGHT — Watch the results come in tonight on POLITICO’s live pages for primaries in ColoradoIllinoisNew York Oklahoma and Utah, runoffs in Mississippi and South Carolina, and a special election in Nebraska’s 1st Congressional District. You can also tune into our live chat to see our politics team’s minute-by-minute analysis.

Cassidy Hutchinson, a former aide to then-chief of staff Mark Meadows, testifies before the Jan. 6 committee.

PAGING MERRICK GARLAND — No question about it, today’s surprise Jan. 6 hearing delivered. In historic testimony, top Trump White House aide Cassidy Hutchinson offered jaw-dropping new details about Donald Trump’s increasingly manic rage and chief of staff Mark Meadows’ inaction in the days and hours leading up to the violent Capitol attack.

And the bombshells might actually mean something. The testimony painted the picture of “advanced awareness” inside the White House about what was to come on Jan. 6, according to Donald Ayer, who served as the No. 2 Justice Department official under President George H.W. Bush.

Today’s testimony didn’t completely shock the former deputy attorney general, not after what we’ve learned in previous hearings. But the case against Trump is getting “stronger and stronger,” says Ayer, who talked to Nightly about how today’s revelations will shape Attorney General Merrick Garland’s next steps as he weighs a Trump indictment. This conversation has been edited for length and clarity.

What was the most important thing we learned today? 

Today’s testimony added substantial, specific evidence showing new ways that Trump was at the very center of the plot to overturn our democracy, and executed it personally in so many respects, over the fervent objections and opposition of so many of his own people. For example, the beginning of the evidence we heard today showed how there was real advanced planning of a major disruptive event on Jan. 6. Hutchinson talked about seeing Rudy Giuliani, on Jan. 2, and him saying to her that Jan. 6 was “going to be a great day” and that they’re going to the Capitol. Clearly the planning was going on a level that was known to leaders in the White House, including Giuliani and others. So that was one of the big pieces — that advanced awareness within the White House and a lot of people in the White House being worried.

Another high point was the substantial evidence Hutchinson offered showing the degree of knowledge on the morning of Jan. 6 that these demonstrators were armed. Tony Ornato mentioned the awareness that they had knives, guns, body armor, spears, and when she mentioned that to Meadows, he didn’t really look up. Then at the rally, when Trump was furious that the enclosure where people could come hear his speech wasn’t full. Trump said let’s get rid of the magnetometers because “they’re not here to hurt me.” He’s aware that they’ve got these weapons. And his reaction is, who cares?

A third incredible spectacle, illustrating the intensity of what Trump was trying to do and his utter lack of concern for any reasonable course of action, was the whole episode that she described of Trump trying to go to the Capitol. He kept pushing. They finally get into “the Beast,” and Trump thinks they can go up there. Secret Service agent Bobby Engel, who’s the head of the detail, says they can’t do it because of security issues. Hutchinson describes what she heard — that Trump grabbed the steering wheel, and Engel put his hand on Trump’s arm. Then Trump lunged toward Engel.

How do you think today’s hearing will affect the DOJ’s approach when it comes to a potential indictment of Trump? 

The ability to say, “Aha, here’s the smoking gun,” is really not the right way to look at it.

It’s an accumulation of what we’ve learned from all the hearings. In today’s hearing, we once again see Trump running roughshod over his own people, his own appointees who are saying, “Don’t do this.”

All this stuff that Trump does, there’s no mistaking what he was trying to do, and there’s no mistaking that it was his intent. He did it in the face of the fact that at least dozens of people in different ways and settings were saying, “Don’t do that. That’s a terrible thing. Don’t do it.”

The bottom line is the case for prosecution of Trump is getting stronger and stronger. It’s really extraordinary to think of this pattern of conduct that he engaged in and the persistence of it over an extended period. That said, we all have to wait until the evidence is in, and respect the decision of the Justice Department based on the whole picture.

Are other high-level Trump officials in legal danger? 

Another important contribution of today had to do with some pretty specific information about Meadows’ role. According to Hutchinson, he was aware on Jan. 2 about what was going to happen on Jan. 6, since he said to her then that things could get “real, real bad.” And so he was aware of it, and yet she describes all of these interactions as the date approaches, and on Jan. 6 — and as she is periodically raising concerns with him — he’s passive. He’s not focused on the problem. He’s staring at his phone. He won’t look up. He slams the door of the car, so she can’t talk to him.

Meadows is someone who seems to have been close in on the planning. We don’t have evidence about exactly what he knew, but Giuliani’s reference on Jan. 2 that an incredible thing was going to happen on Jan. 6 suggests that there was awareness at that level of this whole plan. You’ve got to think Meadows could have been involved in it. So prosecution of him could be another real possibility.

What would you say to Garland, as he decides whether to indict the former president? 

That’s his job. He’s the one whose judgment we are entitled to have. And he’s an excellent prosecutor, who prosecuted the Oklahoma City bombing case. I trust his judgment.

Departmental guidelines say don’t bring a case if you don’t think you can probably convict. And that’s especially true if you’re going to prosecute a former president. But the guidelines are also clear about how to assess the importance of going forward with a case.

First, the guidelines say to consider the nature of the conduct engaged in and how serious it is. You couldn’t have a more serious offense than someone trying in such a concerted way to overturn our democratic electoral process — it gets a 10 out of 10.

The second key point in the guidelines is whether and how much deterrence of such conduct matters. Here, we have people all over the country conspiring to do this again. If he just walks away after this behavior, after what he’s done, the message goes out to scoundrels all over America that we’re not really ready to stand up to this. Deterrence is critical to our future in the next few years.

The next key element in the guidelines looks at the culpability of the individual. So again, today, we are hearing that Trump was the active agent with regard to virtually everything that happened, so his culpability is just through the roof. I think all of those considerations will be very much on Garland’s mind when he has to make the judgment whether to file charges.

Welcome to POLITICO Nightly. Reach out with news, tips and ideas at nightly@politico.com. Or contact tonight’s author at mward@politico.com or on Twitter at @MyahWard.

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WHAT'D I MISS?

— Biden administration ramps up monkeypox vaccination: At a press conference, the HHS said it would immediately send 56,000 doses of Jynneos, the two-dose vaccine approved by the FDA for use against monkeypox, from the strategic national stockpile to parts of the country where the virus is spreading quickly and where residents are at the most risk for severe disease. The agency plans to send an additional 240,000 doses once the manufacturer provides them. But city public health departments reported that demand for the vaccine is still outstripping supply, raising concerns that the administration will struggle to keep up.

— Death toll in abandoned trailer in San Antonio rises to 51: Desperate families of migrants from Mexico and Central America frantically sought word of their loved ones as authorities began the grim task today of identifying 51 people who died after being abandoned in a tractor-trailer without air conditioning in the sweltering Texas heat. The death count was the highest ever from a smuggling incident in the United States, according to Craig Larrabee, acting special agent in charge of Homeland Security Investigations in San Antonio.

— HHS launches website in wake of Supreme Court ruling on abortion: Reproductiverights.gov will help people find contraceptives and abortion services, amid complaints from progressive Democrats in Congress that the administration was caught flat-footed by the Supreme Court decision overturning Roe v. Wade . HHS Secretary Xavier Becerra said he is directing his department’s Office for Civil Rights to ensure patient privacy and that he is taking steps to increase access to FDA-approved abortifacients, though he did not provide many specifics on how that would be achieved.

— FDA advisers recommend strain update to boosters ahead of expected fall Covid surge: They voted 19-2 today to recommend the agency authorize Covid-19 booster formulations that target the Omicron variant, while acknowledging data gaps that persist on the shots’ efficacy over time. The advisory committee signaled a preference for the strain composition to target the BA.4 and BA.5 subvariants that currently account for more than half of all U.S. Covid infections, rather than deploying shots targeting the original Omicron variant that began circulating domestically in late 2021.

— NYC Mayor Eric Adams says Giuliani should be investigated for reporting false crime: The call came after Giuliani apparently made an exaggerated police report about a spat in Staten Island over the weekend, claiming an employee at a borough ShopRite assaulted him while he was stumping for his son Andrew Giuliani’s gubernatorial bid. Surveillance video shows the worker tap Giuliani, 78, on the back before chewing him out. “Someone needs to remind former Mayor Giuliani that falsely reporting a crime is a crime,” Adams said today.

— Supreme Court reinstates Louisiana House map amid racial bias claims: The high court’s decision means the state will hold the 2022 elections under district lines a federal judge had struck down for violating the Voting Rights Act. It resets the map, for at least the 2022 election, to one Republican legislators drew earlier this year. The Supreme Court’s stay of the federal order to redraw the map likely resolves the last redistricting challenge outstanding ahead of the midterms.

— Buttegieg-founded PAC to back down-ballot Democrats in 2022 midterms: Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg’s mostly dormant Win the Era PAC is jolting back to life four months ahead of crucial midterm elections. The PAC — which has $1.6 million in the bank but has not been actively raising money — will throw its support behind a slate of state and federal candidates chosen for their youth and diversity, according to a source close to Win the Era.

 

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AROUND THE WORLD

Spain's King Felipe makes a speech next to President Joe Biden and and other heads of state and dignitaries during a gala dinner.

Spain's King Felipe makes a speech next to President Joe Biden and and other heads of state and dignitaries during a gala dinner today in Madrid, Spain, where the NATO summit is underway. | Pool photo by Juanjo Martin

NORTHERN EUROPE TURNS TO NATO — Turkey has lifted its objection to the NATO membership applications by Finland and Sweden, paving the way for the two countries to join the military alliance, write Lili Bayer and Cristina Gallardo.

The three countries signed a memorandum of understanding in Madrid today ahead of a summit of NATO leaders.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has prompted a shift in public opinion across northern Europe toward NATO, leading Helsinki and Stockholm to formally apply for membership in mid-May. But the Turkish leadership, citing concerns over the countries’ alleged support for Kurdish groups and arms embargoes, blocked the process.

Today, following weeks of talks, the three countries reached a deal, clearing the biggest hurdle holding up Finland and Sweden’s NATO bids. The progress is a blow to Russia’s stated ambition of rolling back NATO’s growth through its war in Ukraine.

“In NATO, we have always shown that whatever our differences, we can always sit down, find common ground and resolve any issues,” NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg proclaimed at a press conference following the signing ceremony.

SWISS CHEESE — This year’s G-7 summit may have been held in the Bavarian Alps, but the results of the high-profile gathering of leading democracies looks a lot more like Swiss cheese — full of gaping holes, writes Ryan Heath.

President Joe Biden arrived in Germany for two days of refuge and luxury in the embrace of like-minded allies, leaving behind MAGA-world, a polarized Congress and a radical Supreme Court undercutting his presidency. Autocrats weren’t invited; protesters were kept on the other side of the mountain.

This week, the G-7 issued statement after statement but did not agree to plans that might fundamentally alter the course of Russia’s war in Ukraine, limit runaway global inflation or avert a looming famine.

As the leaders convened, domestic problems drowned out their piecemeal actions, and Russian missiles struck a Ukrainian mall filled with civilians.

 

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NIGHTLY NUMBER

20 years

The length of Ghislaine Maxwell’s prison sentence, handed down today for her role in helping the wealthy financier Jeffrey Epstein sexually abuse underage girls. Maxwell, who denies abusing anyone, said she hoped that her conviction and her “unusual incarceration” bring some “measure of peace and finality.”

 

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PARTING WORDS

BLUE STATE PANIC — Less than a year ago, a GOP Senate victory in deep blue Washington state would have been unthinkable. But now, Democrats are spending millions on advertising in several once-reliable Democratic strongholds, including Washington, as Republicans build national momentum and push for new Senate pickups, writes Natalie Allison.

There’s a similar panic in Colorado, where today’s GOP Senate primary has also drawn millions of dollars in Democratic-funded ads to boost a far-right candidate, a massive last-ditch campaign to keep a moderate Republican off the ballot this fall.

Murray’s scramble to boost her standing months before the November election — and to attack Smiley on her stance against abortion rights — comes as new polling shows the blue-state race has tightened even before Smiley begins her own advertising on air.

In a poll conducted last week and obtained by POLITICO, Murray is leading Smiley by 5 percentage points, just over the survey’s 4.1 percent margin of error. The internal Smiley poll, conducted by The Tarrance Group, had Murray with 48 percent of the vote, compared to Smiley at 43 percent.

“She was the very first Senate incumbent in the country to run a negative campaign against her challenger,” Ed Goeas, president of The Tarrance Group, said of Murray. “That shows how deep of a problem she’s in.”

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