Monday, January 6, 2025

POLITICO Nightly: The fall of another world leader


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By Mike Blanchfield

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau speaks during a news conference.

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau speaks during a news conference at Rideau Cottage in Ottawa today. | Dave Chan/AFP via Getty Images

TRUDEAU IN WINTER — Justin Trudeau could have picked a more hospitable venue to end the speculation on his political future than the outdoor podium perched on a frigid January morning at the entrance of his official residence.

It was a familiar setting to Canadians, a place where the 53-year-old prime minister once enjoyed something now long gone — popularity and respect.

Trudeau held some 80-plus televised press conferences during the early months of the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020. It was there that Canadians watched his beard and hair grow, as he walked out of his home day after day to answer questions and periodically offer reassurance, sometimes directly to locked down children.

It was where he became a figurative 21st century wartime leader, steering his country’s counter offensive against the once-in-a-century global pandemic.

Today, it was where he presented himself as a defeated politician — a fighter who still had a few rounds left in him, but instead was vanquished by economics and post-pandemic fatigue and anger.

Trudeau’s departure leaves a gaping hole for the country he served at a perilous moment.

Donald Trump’s return to the White House in two weeks has already injected an existential angst across Canada. Trump’s threats to impose 25 percent tariffs on Canadian imports to the U.S. — something he said he could do on his first day in office on Jan. 20 — forced Trudeau himself down to Mar-a-Lago for an audience with Trump in late November.

His attempt to break bread over dinner with the president-elect earned Trudeau social media ridicule from Trump, social media hazing that branded him “Governor Trudeau” and repeated musings about Canada becoming a 51st state, a mantra Trump rolled out again today.

Less than two hours after Trudeau’s announcement, Trump weighed in on Truth Social , repeating his internet trolling.

“Many people in Canada LOVE being the 51st State,” Trump wrote.

“The United States can no longer suffer the massive Trade Deficits and Subsidies that Canada needs to stay afloat. Justin Trudeau knew this, and resigned. If Canada merged with the U.S., there would be no Tariffs, taxes would go way down, and they would be TOTALLY SECURE from the threat of the Russian and Chinese Ships that are constantly surrounding them. Together, what a great Nation it would be!!!”

Earlier in the day, Trudeau explained he would step aside because of the divisiveness and polarization around his leadership — including inside his own caucus.

That means a new Liberal Party leader will take on Pierre Poilievre, Canada’s Conservative Party leader, who has been hammering Trudeau and the Liberals in the polls for more than a year. It’s a bitter reality Trudeau publicly acknowledged today.

“This country deserves a real choice in the next election, and it has become clear to me that if I’m having to fight internal battles, I cannot be the best option in that election,” Trudeau said.

That left Ontario Progressive Conservative Premier Doug Ford to fill the widening federal communications void to deal with Trump’s latest social media post.

“To the president, I’ll make him a counteroffer. How about if we buy Alaska and we’ll throw in Minnesota and Minneapolis? … I know he likes making these comments, and he likes joking around. I take that seriously. He may be joking. But under my watch, that will never, ever happen.”

Ford may be the leader of Canada’s largest province, the one that exports electricity to 1.5 million Americans, but he is the equivalent of a Canadian governor. All of which continues to beg the question: who speaks for Canada?

Louise Blais, who served as Canada’s deputy UN ambassador under Trudeau, is concerned Canada will not have a fully functioning government for many months. “What we are about to face is not just tariffs but also an aggressive economic agenda south of the border that will have far-reaching impacts on Canada’s competitiveness,” Blais told POLITICO today. “Today we only focus on the tariff threat, when additionally, the incoming administration and Congress are planning much more than that.”

Trudeau managed to buy a sizable amount of time to enable his teetering minority government some space to achieve that crucial next step — he said the governor general, who is charged with administering constitutional and ceremonial duties, granted his request to shut down Parliament until March 24.

That means no opportunity to defeat the minority government until then.

He said he plans to step down as prime minister and as Liberal leader after his party has chosen his successor. But there is plenty to do in between.

That includes deciding who attends Trump’s Jan. 20 inauguration in Washington. Trudeau’s office had no answer to that question late this afternoon.

The more important questions had already been answered — Trudeau lost control of his party and his hold on power. One of the few things that remained in his grasp was where he chose to say goodbye.

Welcome to POLITICO Nightly. Reach out with news, tips and ideas at nightly@politico.com . Or contact tonight’s author at mblanchfield@politico.com or on X (formerly known as Twitter) at @mblanchfield .

What'd I Miss?

— Congress certifies Trump’s victory: Congress formally certified President-elect Donald Trump’s victory with no drama today. The sedate proceedings cemented Trump’s victory over Vice President Kamala Harris, who also presided over the certification. Democratic leaders had stressed the importance of a peaceful transfer of power leading up to today, even as Trump and his allies attempt to whitewash the events of the insurrection at the Capitol four years ago. With the memory of rioters in the building still fresh in the minds of many lawmakers and a heavy security presence ringing the Capitol, no Democrats objected to the counting of electoral votes today.

— Trump moves to cancel hush money sentencing on Friday: President-elect Donald Trump is seeking to cancel his Friday sentencing for his hush money conviction, arguing that the sentencing hearing must be postponed while he appeals . Trump’s lawyers signaled in court papers that they will ask a New York appeals court to toss out the jury’s May verdict, which found Trump guilty of 34 felony counts of falsifying business documents. In his appeal, Trump intends to argue that he is protected by presidential immunity — arguments that the trial judge, Justice Juan Merchan, rejected.

— Nippon Steel, U.S. Steel sue over blocked bid: Nippon Steel and U.S. Steel said today that they have filed two lawsuits over President Joe Biden’s decision to block the Japanese company’s $14.9 billion acquisition of the Pittsburgh-based steelmaker . President-elect Donald Trump today also reiterated his opposition to the deal, at least for now, in a post on his social media platform Truth Social. “Why would they want to sell U.S. Steel now when Tariffs will make it a much more profitable and valuable company? Wouldn’t it be nice to have U.S. Steel, once the greatest company in the World, lead the charge toward greatness again? It can all happen very quickly!”

— Former Proud Boys leader Enrique Tarrio asks Trump for Jan. 6 pardon: The most notorious of all Jan. 6 defendants — former Proud Boys leader Enrique Tarrio — has formally asked President-elect Donald Trump to pardon him for his seditious conspiracy conviction related to the attack on the Capitol. Tarrio was convicted by a jury of helping orchestrate the attack on the Capitol, even though he was banished from the city by prosecutors that day for his role in burning a stolen Black Lives Matter banner. U.S. District Judge Tim Kelly, a Trump appointee, sentenced Tarrio to 22 years in prison, the lengthiest sentence of any Jan. 6 defendant.

THE NEXT ADMINISTRATION

NO RESISTANCE — The Federal Reserve’s top regulatory official, Michael Barr, announced today that he will step down in the coming weeks , clearing the way for President-elect Donald Trump to reshape federal banking regulation.

Barr, who has served as the Fed’s vice chair for supervision since 2022, said he would resign from that role by Feb. 28 or earlier if his successor is confirmed. He said he will continue to serve as a member of the Federal Reserve Board. His resignation will avert what could have been a major legal fight if Trump had sought to fire or demote him. Barr had been discussing his options with outside legal counsel.

ANYTHING FOR HIS DIRTY ENERGY DONORS!
CHINA'S ECONOMY IS PROSPERING FROM CHEAP CLEAN SOLAR! IT'S THE US THAT WILL LOOSE!

PROMISES MADE — President-elect Donald Trump today vowed to quickly reverse President Joe Biden’s lame-duck push to ban oil and gas drilling along most of the U.S. coast.

Trump said in a radio interview that he plans to undo Biden’s policy “immediately” after he takes office later this month, although doing so would likely require help from Congress. The incoming president slammed Biden’s offshore drilling ban today in an interview with radio host Hugh Hewitt. Biden announced earlier today — two weeks before Inauguration Day — that he was banning new offshore oil and gas drilling along most of the U.S. coastline.

AROUND THE WORLD

Donald Trump sits in front of an Israel flag, across from Benjamin Netanyahu.

Former President Donald Trump meets with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at his Mar-a-Lago estate on July 26, 2024, in Palm Beach, Florida. | Alex Brandon/AP

INCHING FORWARD — Israel and Hamas once again appear to be inching toward a ceasefire that could wind down the 15-month war in Gaza and bring home dozens of Israelis held hostage there, reports The Associated Press.

Both Israel and Hamas are under pressure from outgoing U.S. President Joe Biden and President-elect Donald Trump to reach a deal before the Jan. 20 inauguration. But the sides have come close before, only to have talks collapse over various disagreements. And hurdles remain.

The latest round of negotiations has bogged down over the names of hostages to be released in a first phase, according to Israeli, Egyptian and Hamas officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity because they were discussing ongoing negotiations.

Israel wants assurances that the hostages are alive, while Hamas says that after months of heavy fighting, it isn’t sure who is alive or dead.

WANING INFLUENCE — Irish officials say they are in despair about their country’s fading influence over European Union economic policy, complaining Dublin performed poorly in the race for the best jobs in the European Commission’s new five-year term.

Five Irish officials told POLITICO that Ireland will be starting on the back foot after leaving it too late to negotiate getting their people into top positions at the new Commission, which began on Dec. 1. The government was distracted by political battles at home and had a strategy of trying to stay above the EU political fray, they said — an approach that cost it a louder voice.

Key adviser positions to European commissioners are some of the most highly prized jobs, allowing a country to monitor — and influence — priority policy areas and top politicians. Dublin failed to secure appointments in policy areas considered important for the country, such as financial services, the EU budget and the economy, critics say.

Nightly Number

MUST READ!

MUSKRAT'S FOOD FIGHT!

€1.5 billion

The size of a potential deal between Italy and Elon Musk’s SpaceX for secure telecoms through the Starlink satellite system, the Italian government confirmed today.

RADAR SWEEP

GAS ME UP — There’s a quasi-legal drug addiction that’s growing rapidly — the use of nitrous oxide . What once used to be consumed only occasionally through small canisters marketed for making whipped cream is now being sold in giant tanks. Users are developing crippling addictions to the gas, leaving them with nerve damage or brain damage, a danger to themselves and others, as many huff gas while driving. And smoke shops around the country continue to largely sell the product legally, as it’s marketed winkingly as a culinary tool. Ezra Marcus delves into the strange world of nitrous gas and its dangerous effects for New York Magazine.

Parting Image

On this date in 2021: Supporters of then-President Donald Trump scale the west wall of the U.S. Capitol in an attempt to block the certification of the results of the 2020 presidential election.

On this date in 2021: Supporters of then-President Donald Trump scale the west wall of the U.S. Capitol in an attempt to block the certification of the results of the 2020 presidential election. | Jose Luis Magana/AP

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