RUST BELT RIVALRY — When Tim Walz and JD Vance take the stage tonight for their first and likely only vice presidential debate, the meeting of Midwesterners will also showcase another Rust Belt proxy battle: the long-simmering feud between Vance and Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg. Vice President Kamala Harris commended Buttigieg — like Vance, one of his party’s millennial stars — to Walz as an excellent sparring partner after his turn playing fellow Hoosier Mike Pence during 2020 debate prep after his own presidential bid ran aground in March of that year. Back then, Buttigieg embodied Pence’s mannerisms and folksy I truly do believe expressions; this time, he channeled Vance, in part, by donning a red tie. Once again, it’s personal for Buttigieg — who has had a yearslong war of words and ideas with both of the candidates he’s played in debate prep. “Pete’s also a perfect foil for Vance,” said Lis Smith, Buttigieg’s communications Svengali. “They’re close in age, they both grew up in the industrial Midwest, they both attended Ivy League colleges, they’re both veterans of the post-9/11 wars, but that’s where the similarities end. … Pete can puncture that veneer of phony populism better than anyone else.” Vance and Buttigieg both launched their national political careers on memoirs of growing up in neighboring states. And both used Donald Trump effectively as a foil in 2016. Buttigieg matched Vance’s Hillbilly Elegy with a Medium post titled “A Letter from Flyover Country ,” an essay that launched his bid to become chair of the Democratic National Committee. Like Vance, who at the time was calling Trump a “total fraud,” Buttigieg was critical of Trumpism, saying “a hostile takeover of the Republican Party has brought to power a thin-skinned authoritarian who is not liberal, nor conservative, nor moderate.” Their rift deepened in 2021 when Vance criticized Buttigieg for not having children in an interview with Tucker Carlson as Buttigieg and his husband Chasten were in the process of adoption. The relationship really came off the rails last year in East Palestine, when, only a month into his Senate tenure, Vance used a train derailment in northeast Ohio to elevate his national profile and ingratiate himself to Trump, joining him there before Buttigieg’s own visit the following day. It was not too dissimilar from how he used Springfield, Ohio’s influx of Haitian immigrants to advance Trump’s line of attack on immigration. Ultimately, they found some common ground on calling for increased regulations for the railroad companies. “Don’t even get me started on his new running mate,” Buttigieg said in his primetime DNC speech in Chicago back in August. “At least Mike Pence was polite. JD Vance is one of those guys who thinks if you don’t live the life he has in mind for you, then you don’t count.” Buttigieg then turned to the camera and addressed Vance directly, focusing on his comment that the “childless left” had no “physical commitment to the future of this country.” “You know, senator, when I deployed to Afghanistan, I didn’t have kids then. Many of the men and women who deployed outside the wire with me didn’t have kids either. But let me tell you, our commitment to the future of this country was pretty damn physical.” The next day, in an interview at CNN and POLITICO’s grill , I asked Buttigieg about Vance after pointing out some of the echoes of their rise. “I had more similarities with him back when he was telling the truth,” Buttigieg told me. “He did write very eloquently four or five years ago about how Donald Trump was appealing to the worst in us.” Vance and Buttigieg’s cold war has spilled into the days just before the debate. Vance campaigned in Traverse City, Michigan last week—the adopted hometown of Buttigieg now—in what a person close to Vance’s campaign said was a coincidence. Vance did not namecheck Buttigieg. This week brought a conveniently timed report from the Associated Press that detailed the Ohio senator’s pleas to Buttigieg for Bipartisan Infrastructure Law funds even though he opposed it as a candidate. Somewhere in the multiverse, Buttigieg, himself a shortlister running mate for Harris, is the one facing Vance tonight. But given his intensive role in preparing Walz, he won’t be that far away in spirit from confronting his Trump-era Rustbelt rival. Welcome to POLITICO Nightly. Reach out with news, tips and ideas at nightly@politico.com . Or contact tonight’s author at awren@politico.com or on X (formerly known as Twitter) at @adamwren .
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