Tuesday, July 2, 2024

POLITICO Nightly: How deepfakes could upend the 2024 elections


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BY CATHERINE KIM

CRACKS IN THE FOUNDATION — As POLITICO’s Playbook PM reports , after days of lining up behind President Joe Biden, prominent Democrats are starting to go public with concerns about his age and his ability to stay on the ticket.

DEMS with no testicles genuflecting to CORPORATE MEDIA PROPAGANDA?  Listen to yourselves! 

Rep. Lloyd Doggett (D-Texas), became the first sitting congressperson to directly call for Biden to step aside. Former Rep. Tim Ryan (D-Ohio) also called for Biden to leave the race.

 JIM CLYBURN, along with other Corporate Dems travelled to TEXAS to support CORRUPT CUELLAR whose opponent JESSICA CISNEROS lost by 289 VOTES.  At the time, CUELLAR  was under investigation and has now been charged with accepting $600,000 in bribes. How much credibility does Jim Clyburn have? 

Rep. Jim Clyburn (D-S.C.) signaled he’d support Vice President Kamala Harris if Biden were to leave the race, and former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) said that “it’s a legitimate question to say, is this an episode or is this a condition?” though a Pelosi spokesperson later said she had “full confidence” in Biden.

Sen. Peter Welch (D-Vt.) and Rep. Mike Quigley (D-Ill.) also expressed concerns about the president and his campaign operation.

Since Playbook PM published, former Obama HUD Secretary Julián Castro said “I believe that another Democrat would have a better shot at beating Trump” and Adam Frisch, the Democratic nominee in Colorado’s third district — who came within hundreds of votes of beating Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-Colo.) in 2022 — also called on Biden to withdraw .

 TED CRUZ grasping? The only thing he's ever done in how many years?

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) speaks at a news conference to unveil the Take It Down Act to protect victims against non-consensual intimate image abuse.

Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) speaks at a news conference to unveil the Take It Down Act to protect victims against non-consensual intimate image abuse on June 18 in Washington, DC. | Andrew Harnik/Getty Images

‘HOLDING MY BREATH’ — An investigation by the British television station Channel 4 that published today found evidence of over 400 instances of digitally altered deepfake pornography of more than 30 high-profile UK politicians.

The new revelations come in the days before the country’s July 4 elections, and they’re far from unique. Deepfake technology — in which users manipulate a video, photo or audio clip, often to replace one person’s likeness with another — is proliferating rapidly with the help of AI, and with little regulation from governments around the world. Its most malicious uses range from spreading election disinformation to creating fake sexually explicit content that looks like the real thing.

In the United States, lawmakers are finally attempting to tackle the issue, which has become exponentially worse due to AI tools that make creating this content much easier.

States like Florida and Colorado have already passed a bill that would require campaigns to disclose the use of deepfakes in political ads. Meanwhile, Michigan is looking to ban the creation and distribution of deepfake porn with full bipartisan support. On a federal level, Congress has made attempts — though mostly unsuccessful — to curb the unregulated expansion of synthetic videos, the latest instance being a bipartisan effort led by Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) to police and remove deepfake porn from the internet.

These efforts come during a crucial period: The election is just four months away, during a time when trust in government is at an all-time low to begin with.

Misuse of deepfakes doesn’t just spread disinformation, according to University of Virginia Law Prof. Danielle Citron, who has studied and written about the use of deepfake videos since 2018. It further erodes the already crippled trust in our institutions, she said, creating an environment ripe for authoritarianism.

To better understand the laws surrounding deepfakes and the technology’s future, Nightly spoke with Citron.

This conversation has been edited for length and clarity.

Sen. Ted Cruz and a few other senators are trying to pass a bill that protects victims of deepfake porn, which activists say is a step in the right direction but still a very narrow bill. What do you think needs to be included in a more comprehensive deepfake bill? 

I think that we have needed a federal, comprehensive intimate privacy bill for too long. It’s overdue. And we need a comprehensive approach to intimate privacy violations that include the manufacture of intimate images. But I think a larger looming problem that we must address is a recognition that it’s really hard to find the creators. And it’s almost impossible to get them to pay anything, even if you have civil penalties because they don’t have any money.

Where we really should focus on is the gatekeepers, the intermediaries, the content platforms that are making money hand over fist because of the likes, clicks and shares of negative content. They’re immune from responsibility at the content layer: Section 230 [the law that provides tech companies broad immunity from legal challenges to content on their platforms] provides them a shield from liability. If we don’t have a solution that deals with them, it’s always half measures.

How concerned are you about deepfakes in the 2024 U.S. presidential election?

I’m pretty worried because we’ve already seen fakery. And now we have the tools of deepfakery, which make it really cheap and easy to create synthetic video and audio to change an election, and in ways that are at that choke point — the two days or the day before the election to suppress the vote. I’m worried. And I’m holding my breath over here.

My fear is that we’re going to see more and more really well-timed videos. You don’t need a large number of things to do a lot of damage. So especially around elections, around significant events, we might see at certain choke points really well-timed fakery. We’ve seen in countries not our own, like India and other countries, deepfakery of candidates doing and saying things they never did or said in ways designed to hurt their candidacy.

What are some particular concerns? 

When deepfakes spread and everyone starts believing them, then there’s no trust. That’s definitely a cycle. We coined this term: the liar’s dividend. It captures the idea that liars, when there’s truthful images of them doing and saying something wrong, they can point to the real video and say, “Oh, that’s not me. Everything is fake.” That’s the liar’s dividend. When people are caught doing bad things that are real, they can disclaim them as lies.

Outside of election misinformation, how might this affect our lives?

The technology of synthesizing things that people can’t do and say can be used for good. We see it in the Star Wars movies. Carrie Fisher, after she passed away, she was in the last Star Wars movie. Her family permitted it, with full consent. The real question is deepfakes without someone’s permission. Using their audio and video without their permission for the most part is bad because it has the potential to hurt or violate inherently their privacy — which is dignity denying. The use of synthetic audio and video without someone’s permission? That’s bad.

Is there a future where deepfakes and AI images are just ingrained in our society and we learn to live with them? 

Someone asked me this early on in my deepfake work, “Why don’t we just say no video is real? Why don’t we just give up on the project?” You can’t have fakery if no one believes it. You can’t have damage if, epistemically, no one thinks it is true. And my response is always that without our belief in images, we can’t bear witness to the Holocaust. We can’t bear witness to what’s going on in Gaza. We can’t bear witness to any atrocity. And that is to say, give up on proof of truth, and I’m not doing that ever.

That’s the end of democracy. That’s what an authoritarian would love: “No, just believe my truth.” Democracies die when authoritarians are the ones who say, “I am the arbiter of truth.”

Welcome to POLITICO Nightly. Reach out with news, tips and ideas at nightly@politico.com . Or contact tonight’s author at ckim@politico.com or on X (formerly known as Twitter) at @ck_525 .

 

Understand 2024’s big impacts with Pro’s extensive Campaign Races Dashboard, exclusive insights, and key coverage of federal- and state-level debates. Focus on policy. Learn more.

 
 
WHAT'D I MISS?

NY SENTENCING SEPT 18! IMMUNITY? 

FALSIFICATION OF BUSINESS RECORDS WAS COMMITTED PRIOR TO tRUMP'S ELECTION? 


— Trump’s sentencing in New York delayed until Sept. 18: 
Donald Trump’s sentencing in his Manhattan criminal case has been delayed until Sept. 18 so that the former president can present new arguments that his conviction should be tossed out in light of Monday’s Supreme Court decision on presidential immunity. The sentencing, which had been set for July 11, will now take place less than two months before Election Day. In a letter to prosecutors and Trump’s lawyers, Justice Juan Merchan didn’t elaborate on the sentencing delay, but merely set a schedule for both parties to submit court filings related to the immunity argument.

— CIA mishandled sexual assault, harassment within its ranks, internal review finds: The Central Intelligence Agency has mishandled sexual assault and workplace harassment within its ranks , according to a recently completed comprehensive internal review conducted at the direction of the Senate. Agency officials have “not been wholly successful in preventing, or efficiently and effectively responding to, workplace harassment and sexual assault incidents,” CIA Inspector General Robin Ashton said in a statement describing the results of the review.

— Biden administration plans major cuts to AIDS relief programs in Africa: The Biden administration plans to cut funding by more than 6 percent in fiscal 2025 from the President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief , the 21-year-old program credited with saving millions of lives in Africa. The State Department, which oversees the program, confirmed the cuts. The department has gradually spent down a glut in the PEPFAR budget from years in which funding from Congress exceeded State’s ability to spend it, said a department spokesperson. Now the glut is gone and Congress in March held the program’s $4.4 billion budget flat.

NIGHTLY ROAD TO 2024

CURIOUS GEORGE — ABC’s George Stephanopoulos will conduct the first interview with Biden since his debate performance later this week, the network announced.

Part of the interview will air on ABC’s “World News Tonight” on Friday, with others coming in Sunday’s “This Week” program, also on ABC.

LET’S GET TOGETHER — Democratic governors are setting up a meeting with Biden that could come as soon as Wednesday, after more than two dozen of them gathered on a call Monday to vent fears and frustration over the president’s poor debate performance.

The governors’ meeting with Biden — which is expected to be both in-person and virtual — follows a Monday afternoon call on which two dozen Democratic governors gathered to commiserate and share information, seeking to settle fears around the president’s disastrous debate performance, reports POLITICO. Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, chair of the Democratic Governors Association, convened Monday’s gathering, and he’s expected to fly in for the meeting with the president.

 PRESIDENT BIDEN IS OUTRAISING tRUMP BECAUSE RACIST & HATE FILLED RHETORIC CLEARLY PERMEATED tRUMP'S RANTS! 

BLACK JOBS? IMMIGRANTS ARE FROM MENTAL INSTITUTIONS & PRISONS?

Having the MORAL OF AN ALLEY CAT? The response was denying that he had sex with a porn star - not an adequate excuse.  

CASH ADVANTAGE — Trump’s campaign said he raised just shy of $112 million in June , a significant haul though not as much as Biden for the first time in several months.

That sum helped boost the former president’s cash total, although it was a slower fundraising month compared with May, when Trump’s New York trial and eventual conviction drove massive donations.

Biden’s operation said it brought in $127 million last month.

AROUND THE WORLD

Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskyy shakes hands with Hungary's Prime Minister Viktor Orbán.

Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelenskyy shakes hands with Hungary's Prime Minister Viktor Orbán during their meeting in Kyiv today. | Genya Savilov/AFP via Getty Images

POWER BROKERS — Ukraine should not wait for Moscow to withdraw its troops before starting peace talks , Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán said on his surprise visit to Kyiv today.

Orbán proposed the idea of an immediate cease-fire to Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskyy during their negotiations in Kyiv, Orbán said following the talks.

“The rules of international diplomacy are slow and complex. I asked the President to consider whether it would be possible to reverse the order and to speed up the peace negotiations with a swift ceasefire,” Orbán said, according to his press release. “A ceasefire tied to a time limit which creates an opportunity for speeding up the peace talks.”

Zelenskyy did not make any public comment on Orbán’s suggestion.

‘ADMINISTRATIVE COUP’ — French far-right leader Marine Le Pen today accused French President Emmanuel Macron of rushing to appoint top officials in what she sees as a power grab.

“It’s a kind of administrative coup d’état,” Le Pen told France Inter radio today, referring to press reports saying Macron was rushing through several key high-ranking appointments within the country’s civil service, including top European Union jobs.

“When you want to counter the electorate’s vote, the results of elections, by appointing people of your own, so that they prevent you within the state from being able to carry out the policy that the French want … I call that an administrative coup d’état,” Le Pen said.

 

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NIGHTLY NUMBER

$10 million

The amount of money that Demand Justice, a progressive advocacy group, plans to spend in a major effort to advocate for Supreme Court reforms and prepare for the effects a second Trump administration could have on the judiciary.

RADAR SWEEP

SYRUP SUCCESS — Experts have long worried about the climate crisis making maple syrup production much more difficult. But new technology and shifted tapping timelines have actually created a boon for the industry , as production increases and smaller family farms in places like Vermont scale up. Given that maple trees can be tapped when temperatures are above freezing, warming temperatures have, thus far, allowed for more maple production. And modern taps and “vacuum tubing” allow for the taps to stay open longer. For The Guardian, Olivia Gieger reported on some of the training processes of the production in Vermont, and how a new generation of maple syrup farmers have a lot to smile about.

PARTING IMAGE

On this date in 1964: President Lyndon B. Johnson signs the Civil Rights Act into law. Here, he reaches to shake hands with Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. after presenting the civil rights leader with one of the 72 pens used to sign the act in Washington, D.C.

On this date in 1964: President Lyndon B. Johnson signs the Civil Rights Act into law. Here, he reaches to shake hands with Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. after presenting the civil rights leader with one of the 72 pens used to sign the act in Washington, D.C. | AP

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