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BY NAOMI ANDU , CHARLIE MAHTESIAN AND CALDER MCHUGH |
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POLITICO illustration/Photos by Getty Images/AP Photo |
DECISION DAY — By now, you probably know the basics of Election Day 2022: There are 435 House races, 35 Senate races and 36 governors races across the nation. We’ve rolled out a full menu of election previews for you at POLITICO Nightly — including Q&As on governors races , the House and the Senate , overviews of ballot measures and the contests affecting education policy , the races political pros are watching and the places the midterms will be won and lost . For this edition, we’re bringing you 50 numbers that help explain the 2022 midterm election cycle — and will shape the most important numbers of all: the final vote tallies. 1. Early votes cast — 45.9 million (up from 39.1 million in 2018)
2. Top 3 media markets for ad spending — Los Angeles ($400 million); Phoenix ($382 million); Washington, D.C. ($346 million)
3. Voters who say the U.S. is currently in a recession — 65%
4. Statewide ballot initiatives on Election Day — 132
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6. House retirements — 34 (22 Democrats, 12 Republicans)
7. Current number of women governors — 9
8. Women nominees for governor — 25 (up from 16 in 2018)
9. Black Senate nominees — 11
10. Most ad spending in a governor’s race — $214 million (Illinois)
11. House seats lost by president’s party, 2018 — 42
12. House seats lost by president’s party, 2014 — 13
13. House seats lost by president’s party, 2010 — 64
14. House seats lost by president’s party, 2006 — 30
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16. Top donor to Democratic outside groups — George Soros ($127 million)
17. Top donor to Republican outside groups — Richard Uihlein ($77 million)
18. Fortune 500 companies that donated to the 147 congressional Republicans who objected to 2020 Electoral College vote, despite pledges to stop those contributions after the Capitol attack — 228
19. Senate campaign donations that came from out-of-state contributors — 65%
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20. Most ad spending on a ballot initiative — $272 million (California Proposition 27 to legalize online sports betting)
21. House Republicans who voted to impeach Donald Trump — 10
22. House Republicans who voted to impeach Trump who went on to lose their primary — 4
23. House Republicans who voted to impeach Trump who are on the general election ballot — 2
24. House nominees present at the Jan. 6 Capitol riot — at least 7
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26. Republicans who worry the November election results could be manipulated — 62%
27. Democrats who believe the November election results can be trusted to be fair and accurate — 76%
28. Republican registered voters who expressed “high interest” in the midterm election — 73%
29. Democratic registered voters who expressed “high interest” in the midterm election — 73%
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30. Top Senate advertiser: Warnock for Georgia Senate ($85 million)
31. Registered voters who think President Joe Biden “won the presidency legitimately” — 60%
32. Registered voters who think Biden “did not win the presidency legitimately” — 33%
33. Contacts reported as hostile or harassing by election officials and workers — Over 1,000
34. Recorded threats against members of Congress in 2022 — 9,625
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36. Biden approval ratings — Approve 41.4%, Disapprove 53.4%
37. Trump favorability ratings — Favorable 39.9%, Unfavorable 54.3%
38. Months since Biden’s approval ratings were above 50% — 16
39. Direction the country is headed — Right direction 21%, Wrong track 72%
40. Number of states that lost a congressional district in reapportionment — 7
41. States that restricted mail voting access since the 2020 election — 11
42. States that expanded mail voting access since the 2020 election — 20
43. House members who lost their primary — 14 (8 Republicans, 6 Democrats)
44. House rematches between the same candidates as in 2020 — 51
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46. Average price of gas in California (as of Nov. 3) — $5.38
47. Fed rate hikes in 2022 — 6
48. Average 30-year fixed mortgage rate — 6.95%
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Ad spending data is compiled by AdImpact , unless otherwise indicated.
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A message from Bank of America: United National Indian Tribal Youth (UNITY) elevates and supports the voices of young Native Americans as they work to strengthen their communities. During the pandemic, Bank of America funding helped UNITY enhance the technology that allowed them to stay connected with members. |
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(Left to right) Precinct 3, Ward 21 co-chair Bria Bush and greeters Da’Vayah Jordan and Gabriel Byrd Johnson assist voters during the U.S. midterm election at the welcome desk at Alfreda Schmidt Community Center today in Lansing, Mich. | Erin Kirkland for POLITICO |
— POLITICO’s hour-by-hour guide to watching election night: POLITICO’s senior campaigns and elections editor Steve Shepard breaks down an hour-by-hour guide to the 2022 midterm elections — outlining all the big races as voting concludes from east to west, including where we expect to see the bulk of the votes counted tonight and where we expect to have to wait for the full picture. A preview: it could be a long night.
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NEW AND IMPROVED POLITICO APP: Stay up to speed with the newly updated POLITICO mobile app, featuring timely political news, insights and analysis from the best journalists in the business. With a fresh look and improved features, the sleek and navigable design offers a convenient way to access POLITICO's scoops and groundbreaking reporting. Don’t miss out on the app you can rely on for the news you need, reimagined. Already a POLITICO app user? Upgrade today! DOWNLOAD FOR iOS – DOWNLOAD FOR ANDROID . |
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— Election officials look to harden tabulation centers against 2020-type chaos: Election officials have looked to bolster security at the major vote tabulation sites across the country after supporters of former President Donald Trump sowed chaos at them in 2020. With some of that mess in mind, officials in key states said they’ve moved to work to secure those facilities, both to protect the election workers inside and to ensure that the count continues unabated until every ballot is tabulated. Part of the new emphasis on security, officials say, is just being aware of the possibility that tabulation centers could be the site of demonstrations or more insidious disruptions this go around, which largely caught officials flat-footed in 2020. — Florida pushes back against DOJ election monitors inside polling sites: Florida is seeking to prevent Department of Justice election monitors from entering polling centers in several counties after the DOJ expanded in-person monitoring in 24 states. Florida officials late Monday sent a letter to the DOJ objecting to the possibility of federal poll watchers entering local facilities. Department of Justice monitors, according to Florida, are not included on the list of personnel allowed in polling places, Brad McVay, general counsel for the Florida Department of State, wrote to the feds.
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DON’T MISS POLITICO’S 2nd ANNUAL DEFENSE SUMMIT ON 11/16: The United States is facing a defining moment in the future of its defense, national security and democratic ideals. The current conflicts and developments around the world are pushing Washington to reshape its defense strategy and how it cooperates with allies. Join POLITICO for our second annual defense summit, “At a Crossroads: America’s Defense Strategy” on November 16 in person at the Schuyler DC or join online to hear keynote interviews and panels discussing the road ahead for America’s national security. REGISTER HERE . |
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A voter drops their ballot into a drop box in Mesa, Ariz. today. | David Butow for POLITICO |
VIEW FROM ABROAD — Media outlets across the globe are reacting to midterms in America with a mixture of trepidation and confusion. POLITICO EU is reporting that there is mounting anxiety in Ukraine over the midterm results. Ukrainian officials and lawmakers are scrutinizing the opinion polls and parsing the comments of their counterparts, fearing that a Republican wave could mean less material support for the war effort. The French daily newspaper Le Monde editorialized about democracy being under attack in the United States, writing “the denialism within part of Republican party is not limited to the conspiracy theory regarding Mr. Trump’s defeat. It pivoted toward the midterm elections weeks ago.” Le Monde columnist Gilles Paris also explained redistricting to a mostly French audience, and how gerrymandered districts can reduce the power of a vote. The BBC dispatched reporters to survey voters about their feelings ahead of the midterms in the U.S., with a Democrat reporting she’s “scared” and a Republican reporting he’s “petrified.” And in the Times of India, they’re making predictions — that based on U.S. midterm history, the results are expected to “ turbocharge Trump for another White House bid .”
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A message from Bank of America:  
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Michael Pechter and his daughter Naomi Pechter, 3, emerge from a voting booth at the Lovett Memorial Library in the Mt. Airy neighborhood of Philadelphia, Pa. today. | Francis Chung/E&E News/POLITICO |
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A message from Bank of America: United National Indian Tribal Youth (UNITY) takes a stand on issues facing Native communities today. Members have identified a range of causes, including protecting the environment, maintaining cultural identity, providing access to mental health resources, and ensuring the safety of women and girls.
“With all of these causes, our young people are stepping up and coming up with ways to meet the challenge,’” says Mary Kim Titla, executive director of UNITY. “Part of UNITY’s mission is to motivate youth to think of what could be.”
Bank of America has partnered with UNITY for more than a decade, and the organization is one of many national and local nonprofits serving the Native community that received a total of $3.1 million in philanthropic grants in 2020, aligned with Bank of America’s commitment to advance racial equality and economic opportunity. |
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