UNREQUITED LOVE — A big-budget Super Bowl ad . Polls that show him drawing up to 22 percent support in a three-way election. Wealthy donors forking over serious cash to support his candidacy. Democrats and Republicans are beginning to view independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as a serious spoiler candidate in this year’s presidential election. But to be a spoiler, first Kennedy has to get on the ballot. That’s where the Libertarian Party comes in. If Kennedy is the party’s nominee, his campaign and associated PACs won’t have to shell out millions of dollars and collect hundreds of thousands of signatures to get on the general election ballot in states across the country. It helps explain why, in recent weeks, Kennedy has appeared on CNN to float interest in the party, and appeared on the podcast of a popular libertarian comedian. He is planning on attending the California Libertarian Party convention at the end of February, where he’ll be on a panel with other possible nominees. The trouble is, while Kennedy holds some Libertarian positions, some see a measure of political expediency in his interest in the party nomination. After all, he began the campaign as a Democrat, then pivoted to independent before expressing interest in the Libertarian Party nomination . It’s sparked a backlash within the Libertarian Party, as both the electoral-focused “prags” who have traditionally controlled the party and supported more mainstream presidential candidates who might boost the party’s profile and more subversive, ideologically rigid members of the Mises Caucus speak out against his name going at the top of the ticket. The Mises Caucus — a more radical libertarian faction organized around the work of Austrian economist Ludwig von Mises — has been a power center within the party since its endorsed candidate, Angela McArdle, won the national committee chairmanship in a 2022 landslide victory with nearly 70 percent of the vote. It controls the majority of the delegates who will vote on the party’s presidential nominee at the national convention in May. While McArdle has suggested that the party may be open to a Kennedy bid, last weekend the Mises Caucus came out formally in opposition to his candidacy, making it unlikely that Kennedy has a real shot at the nomination. McArdle did not respond to a request for comment. In an email to members also posted on X , Mises Caucus leadership declared that “we firmly oppose any strategy that would ‘rent out’ our party’s place on any state’s ballot to RFK, or indeed any candidate who has so many disqualifying deviations from the essential principles of libertarianism.” Michael Heise, the founder of the Mises Caucus, said that while he’s open to Kennedy running for the nomination — he says it would raise the stature of Libertarian Party discourse — nominating the Kennedy family scion would be short-sighted, even if he performed well in the general election. “I don’t want the over-politicization of the Libertarian Party,” said Heise. “We subscribe to the idea that politics is downstream from culture. We want to spread liberty in the culture rather than chasing votes.” The declaration of the Mises Caucus that they want a true libertarian candidate comes after years of infighting within the party. “The Libertarian Party has often struggled with an identity of what it wants to do,” said Christopher Thrasher, an independent ballot access consultant with a long history with the Libertarian Party. “Does it want to evangelize the gospel of Libertarianism and be an educational platform? Or does it want to be a viable vehicle for policy changes and for those who are seeking elected office?” In recent presidential election cycles, the party has mostly followed the latter path. In 2016 the party nominated former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson, a former Republican with less than die-hard libertarian credentials. That led to the strongest Libertarian performance in the history of the party, over 4 million votes. But some of those more pragmatic electoral choices paved the way for a more hard-core, liberty movement — namely the Mises Caucus — to gain support within the party. “(The Mises Caucus) bring an edgier, younger vibe to the party,” said Steven Nekhaila, a director at large for the Libertarian National Committee. “The ‘prags’ were more in the respectability politics camp. The Mises Caucus has more of an in your face type of approach.” That “in your face” approach hasn’t come without controversy. Longtime Libertarian Party activists like Thrasher have accused the Mises Caucus of “courting some of the worst traits of right-wing populism,” and the Mises Caucus-affiliated state party in New Hampshire has made controversial posts, including one on Martin Luther King Jr. Day in 2022 that said “America isn’t in debt to black people, if anything, it’s the other way around.” (The post was later deleted.) But even with the inter-party tensions, at least one former mainstream elected official who has experience with going for the Libertarian Party nomination thinks that Kennedy should give it a shot. “I strongly feel that the Libertarian Party could be legitimate, but they allow this clown show to take place,” said Lincoln Chafee, a former presidential candidate who pursued the Libertarian Party nomination in 2020, referring to some of the off-the-wall candidates like Vermin Supreme who have sought the nomination in the past. “There is a natural linking between Libertarians and RFK Jr.’s campaign.” Welcome to POLITICO Nightly. Reach out with news, tips and ideas at nightly@politico.com . Or contact tonight’s author at pschaefer@politico.com or on X (formerly known as Twitter) at @p_s_schaefer .
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