Britain’s Labour beat the Right, but Must hasten to Win Public Trust and heal Rift with own Left
Oxford (Special to Informed Comment; Feature) – Britain’s latest General Election held on 4th July was nothing short of a major political earthquake that put an end to 14 years of often tumultuous and chaotic Conservative rule.
The Labor Party, led by Sir Keir Starmer, overturned a big Conservative majority of 80 seats in the Parliament achieved by Boris Johnson’s victory in December 2019, with an unprecedented majority of 412 Labor seats to the Conservative Party’s 121 seats, a gain of 211 seats by Labor and a loss of 250 seats by the Conservatives.
Only five years ago, the Labor party led by Jeremy Corbyn suffered its biggest loss since 1935, while in this election the Conservative Party suffered the biggest defeat in its entire history. The election has completely changed Britain’s political landscape. The Conservative Party is a big vote-winning machine and regards itself as the natural party of government. It has ruled Britain for most of its recent history. As the result of winning this election, Keir Starmer has become the 58th UK prime minister, but only the 7th Labor prime minister. This shows the scale of the dominance of British politics by the Conservative, and in the past by a few Liberal prime ministers.
This also shows the significance of the latest Labor victory. The scale of this victory was even bigger than Margaret Thatcher’s landslide victory in 1983 when she won 397 seats to Labor’s 209 seats, or the former Labor landslide victory in 1997 under Tony Blair when Labor won 418 seats compared to the Conservative’s 165 seats, with a gain of 145 seats by Labor and the loss of 178 seats by the Conservatives.
A large number of prominent Conservative ministers have lost their seats and have been kicked out of the parliament. They include former Prime Minister Liz Truss, the House of Commons Leader Penny Mordant who was tipped as a future Tory leader, Sir Jacob Rees-Mogg who was a former cabinet minister and the leader of the Commons, and 12 other cabinet ministers, including Defense Secretary Grant Shapps, Justice Secretary Alex Chalk, Technology Secretary Michelle Donelan, Education Secretary Gillian Keegan, Culture Secretary Lucy Frazer, Chief Whip Simon Hart, and many other prominent Tories who have fallen by the wayside.
Contrary to US elections where campaigning goes on virtually for the second half of a presidential term, the latest British campaign only lasted six weeks. Elections were held from 7.00 in the morning to 10.00 at night on Thursday. The ballots were counted overnight and the results were announced by 09.00 in the morning. Rishi Sunak, the outgoing Conservative prime minister, conceded defeat at around 03.00 in the morning and in a gracious speech accepted responsibility and apologized for the election defeat, and congratulated Keir Starmer for his impressive victory.
Early in the morning, he and his family left their apartment in 10 Downing Street, went to see King Charles to submit his resignation, followed shortly by Keir Starmer who was invited by the king to form the new government. Starmer drove with his wife back to 10 Downing Street by mid-day and gave his first speech as prime minister in front of the famous black doors of his new residence.
The transfer of power in UK elections is among the fastest, smoothest and most orderly changes of governments in the world. The outgoing prime minister did not question the accuracy of the votes, did not try to overturn the election results and did not ask his deputy prime minister to subvert the will of the electorate. Within a 24-hour period, the election was held, results were announced, the former prime minister left office and the new one took over.
The new prime minister spent the afternoon finalizing the members of his government who will take part in the first cabinet meeting tomorrow morning. The first King’s Speech, which includes the policies of the new government will be delivered to the members of both Houses of Parliament on July 18th.
Another important aspect of these elections was that, contrary to a number of European countries where we have seen a move to the extreme right, this election resulted in the triumph of a left-of-center party against a rightwing Conservative Party. In many recent elections in Hungary, Holland, Germany, Italy and recently in France we have seen big wins by far-right parties.
Sunak could have remained in power till next January but, encouraged by a fall in the inflation rate and a few favorable economic indicators, he called an early election hoping that Labor and the far-right Reform Party would be unprepared for it. His gamble resulted in the biggest loss for his party.
However, although on paper, Keir Starmer has achieved a remarkable victory, the future may not be as rosy as it seems at the moment. The country is facing a number of major economic problems, including low productivity, high interest rates resulting in high mortgages and high prices, a widening gap between the rich and the poor, long waiting lists for seeing a doctor or a dentist and unacceptable delays in hospital admissions, etc.
In his first speech outside Number 10 Downing Street, Starmer who had won with his slogan of “Change” referred to the public’s mistrust of politicians and said: “Change begins now … We said we would end the chaos, and we will, we said we would turn the page, and we have. Today, we start the next chapter, begin the work of change, the mission of national renewal and start to rebuild our country.” However, he admitted: “Changing a country is not like flicking a switch. And the world is now a more volatile place. This will take a while.”
The problem is that millions of people who have been suffering as the result of a long recession and who have pinned their hopes on rapid change under the new government may not be willing to wait too long for all the promises to be fulfilled.
LBC Video: “Jeremy Corbyn’s ‘warning’ for Keir Starmer” | LBC
The other problem is that although the number of seats that have been won may look very impressive on paper, the Labor victory has not been based on solid foundations. Labor may have come to dominate the parliament but it has won only 36% of the vote. The Conservatives won 23%, and Nigel Farage’s populist Reform UK party won some 17% of the vote. In other words, the combined number of votes cast for rightwing parties exceeds the numbere of votes cast for Labor. The vote has been a rejection of the Conservative Party and not necessarily an endorsement of the Labor Party.
Nigel Farage, a close friend and supporter of President Trump, was the leader of the far-right UK Independence Party (UKIP) from 2006 to 2009, and 2010 to 2016. He was also the main force behind Brexit who pushed for the referendum under former Prime Minister Cameron and who supported Boris Johnson to get it done. He stood unsuccessfully seven times to win a seat in the Parliament and succeeded yesterday in his eighth attempt.
Being disillusioned by the failure of Brexit to stop large numbers of migrants to Britain and to achieve what he called full political and economic independence from Europe, he formed the Reform UK party, and only during the election campaign he stood again for parliament.
His party which is way to the right of the Conservative Party won 17% of the vote, but due to the nature of the first past the post system of voting in Britain, it won only four seats in the parliament. Most former Conservative voters who were fed up with the party voted for Reform, resulting in big losses for the Conservative Party. Reform came in second place in 103 constituencies, set against only three during the last election in 2019, when a pact with Boris Johnson led it to hold off contesting Conservative-held seats.
Consequently, the big Labor win is more due to the hemorrhage from the Conservatives to Reform, rather than due to support for Labor. The Reform Party which devastated the Conservatives in this election has vowed to target Labor in the future and become the main opposition to Labor. This should ring alarm bells for the Labor Party, especially if the government cannot stem the tide of illegal immigration or if it tries to reach some agreements to cooperate with the EU.
While Reform poses a threat from the right, many people on the left of the Labor Party are also very worried about the center-right policies of the new Labor Party. Many leftwing labor supporters even regard Starmer a traitor who went along with a rightwing campaign against former Labor leader, Jeremy Corbyn. Cornyn who advocated socialist policies and even opposed the possession of nuclear weapons and NATO membership had many supporters in the Labor Party, especially among younger members. He built Labor into the biggest political party in Europe.
However, he became the victim of an extensive campaign of vilification and was accused of anti-Semitism. The fact remains that, as in most Western countries, there are more antisemites in the extreme right groups than in socialist groups. However, the well-orchestrated campaign resulted in Corbyn’s defeat in the 2019 election, which was won by Boris Johnson. Although the Labor Party attracted many more members under Corbyn than before, the anti-Semitism campaign was very effective and led to his undoing.
It is interesting to note that Starmer got three million votes less in 2024 than Corbyn got in 2017 and half a million votes less than Corbyn got in 2019. However, due to the vagaries of the British voting system, Corbyn went to a crashing defeat, while Starmer won a landslide victory in 2024. After his defeat in 2019, Corbyn resigned as party leader and Starmer who had been appointed as EU negotiator by Corbyn was elected leader. He waged a relentless campaign of purging the Labor Party of alleged antisemites, and when Corbyn protested that the extent of antisemitism in the party had been exaggerated, Starmer expelled him from the party. In this election, Corbyn stood as an independent candidate in his constituency and won with a big manority.
All of this has alienated a considerable number of leftwing members of the Labor Party who have never forgiven Starmer for his alleged betrayal of his former boss. In a rare recent interview, Corbyn said that the pressure of the Israeli government on the Labor Party had been huge and this had led to his ouster. He said: “During one extremely hostile meeting of the Parliamentary Labor Party Committee, they confronted me and said will you give a blanket undertaking that you, as party leader and potentially prime minister will automatically support any military action Israel undertakes? And I said No, I give no such undertaking. I will give no such agreement because the issue of Palestine has to be resolved and Palestinian people do not deserve to live under occupation, and the siege of Gaza has created the most incredible stress, and by the way I have been there on nine occasions in Israel, Palestine and the West Bank… So, was I surprised at this support for Israel? No, because the pressure of the Israeli government on the Labor Party is huge…”
So, although at the moment the Labor victory is sweet and the government will be able to do a great deal of good for the country, there are some clouds in the horizon which might become threatening in the future, especially if the new government is not able to resolve all the problems quickly and adequately.
About the Author
No comments:
Post a Comment
Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.