FEAR FACTOR — Today, President Joe Biden kicked off a critical week with his most defiant responses yet on the question of withdrawing his candidacy, aiming to stanch ongoing discussions about a potential exit and mounting calls for him to drop out. In a private call with donors, Biden said he’s done talking about the disastrous debate that sparked panic within the party about his fitness to take on Donald Trump. In a live interview on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe,” he played the populist card, criticizing the party elites “that don’t think I should run.” Prior to that appearance, the president sent a strongly worded letter to Capitol Hill Democrats reiterating his commitment to remain in the race.” The question of how to move forward has been well-aired for over a week now. And it’s time for it to end,” he wrote. President Biden said tRump had the morals of an ALLEY CAT...that was before Florida released the Grand Jury documents regarding JEFFREY EPSTEIN where phone logs included phone calls from TRUMP. 2 New York juries convicted TRUMP of SEXUAL ASSAULT and awarded E. Jean Carroll $83.3 MILLION....she saved the dress, trump refused to provide a DNA sample. These women have accused Trump of sexual harassment CNN
“I have no doubt that I — and we — can and will defeat Donald Trump.” Biden insisted. The trouble is, aside from the forcefulness of his pushback today, Biden still hasn’t offered convincing evidence of how, exactly, he’ll do it. And so the question of whether he should bow out isn’t likely to be decided by his insistence that he’s not leaving the race but rather by three maps that will shape the party’s thinking. The first is the map of Democratic governors. They’ve been largely low-key during the party’s crisis of confidence and publicly supportive of Biden. One reason is that few of them are on the ballot this year — there are just 11 governor’s races in total . No Democratic incumbents are running for reelection, meaning none of them has to worry about being dragged under by a weak top-of-the-ticket Democratic performance. The Democratic governors most frequently mentioned as presidential prospects — Gavin Newsom of California, JB Pritzker of Illinois, Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan, Josh Shapiro of Pennsylvania — have a different calculus . Their eyes are said to be fixed on 2028; calling for Biden’s exit now could alienate potential supporters and donors four years from now. If Biden bows out, Vice President Kamala Harris would have the inside track for the nomination anyway. (Today, Whitmer ruled out running this year in the event Biden bows out .) So far, the cautious support of the governors — who are among the party’s biggest stars — has helped the president cauterize the wound. But the next essential map — the House and Senate landscape — isn’t as forgiving, which is why a growing number of House Democrats have publicly called for Biden to step aside and Senate Democrats have largely only issued measured support for the president. The fear factor surrounding Biden’s performance is palpable: A Trump rout would almost certainly be accompanied by an expanded GOP House majority, and a larger GOP Senate majority than expected. So far, the Senate’s most vulnerable Democrats — some of whom have already managed to run ahead of Biden in state polls — have put the onus on Biden and conceded that voters have legitimate questions about Biden that have yet to be answered. Montana Sen. Jon Tester, one of the Senate’s most vulnerable Democrats, said today , “President Biden has got to prove to the American people — including me — that he’s up to the job for another four years. Meanwhile, I’ll continue to do what I’ve always done: Stand up to President Biden when he’s wrong and protect our Montana way of life.” Ticking off the administration’s accomplishments, as Biden did in his letter today , doesn’t prove he’s up to the job for another four years. Nor does bashing party elites, or asserting the details of his runaway victory for the party nomination, change the dynamics of the House and Senate election map. Only evidence that the president can deliver a robust and energetic performance on the campaign trail will do.
With CALLER ID, who answers the phone? Don't believe the POLLS! The Electoral College map is Biden’s other enemy at the moment. The FiveThirtyEight national polling average is quite close — Biden trails by just 2.3 points . But national polls are meaningless in an election that will likely be decided in a small universe of battleground states. And in that universe, the president is trailing. At this point in 2020, Biden led in the polling average in every battleground state, not to mention every other state with a blue hue. This time around, he trails in every battleground state — and is struggling in a few other nominally blue states he won easily in 2020. President Biden is running against a LIAR with DEMENTIA who threatens DEMOCRACY with PROJECT 2025 and threats of violence. The MEDIA should do its job & report TRUMP'S DEMENTIA! None of it is cause for replacing him as the nominee. But with just 42 days until the Democratic National Convention and 120 days until Election Day, they are powerful currents working against an 81-year-old president coming off a calamitous debate. Welcome to POLITICO Nightly. Reach out with news, tips and ideas at nightly@politico.com . Or contact tonight’s author at cmahtesian@politico.com or on X (formerly known as Twitter) at @PoliticoCharlie .
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