Wednesday, May 3, 2023

POLITICO NIGHTLY: Why the writers strike is about much more than Hollywood



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BY CALDER MCHUGH

Members of the Writers Guild of America picket outside Fox Studios today in Los Angeles.

Members of the Writers Guild of America picket outside Fox Studios today in Los Angeles. | Ashley Landis/AP Photo

SHOW STOPPER — As the clock hit midnight, the Writers Guild of America went on strike after over 15 years of labor peace. Your favorite shows won’t stop immediately — with most television produced well in advance, the two sides still have some runway to work out their differences before TV shows abruptly begin to end . The same goes for new movie releases.

But this year’s work stoppage is about much more than the programming that fills up screens. There are issues surrounding the WGA strike that reach well beyond the soundstages of Hollywood.

There are clear parallels between the concerns at the heart of the writers’ strike and other looming worker actions around the country. At the heart of the WGA’s complaints is that a shift in strategy towards streaming content from studios has turned writers into gig workers with no job security — an issue that also has implications for the 340,000 or so workers at UPS whose contract is up later this year.

“The companies’ behavior has created a gig economy inside a union workforce, and their immovable stance in this negotiation has betrayed a commitment to further devaluing the profession of writing,” the WGA said in a statement.

As more shows come online due to streaming, studios have begun what are colloquially referred to as “mini-rooms” — writers’ rooms, or groups of writers, who collaborate on scripts — for shows that have yet to be greenlit. Writers working in these “mini-rooms” are often paid less, due to the fact that not all of their work reaches streaming platforms. And even when shows are greenlit, the way writers make residuals — back pay from shows that go into syndication or air frequently — has been thrown off as well, due to the switch to streaming.

If these all sound like problems ripe for discussion at a dinner party in Silver Lake, Los Angeles, you wouldn’t be wrong. But setting aside the Hollywood specifics, the issue of the gig economy is roiling unions around the country. A central problem that UPS drivers have is that they are now competing directly against gig workers like drivers for DoorDash and seasonal Amazon employees.

“We want to keep our work. We want to not destroy the jobs that we have. We don’t want gig jobs. We don’t want Uber Eats or DoorDash,” said Local 804 president Vinnie Perrone earlier this year .

Meanwhile, executives’ responses to worker demands this year are largely the same, no matter the industry. They argue that unions should examine the state of the broader economy before making demands — that if they authorize too significant of a pay bump in a time of deep economic uncertainty and broad-based layoffs, the whole industry could be imperiled. This is true whether you’re driving for UPS or writing television, senior officials in both camps say.

As of today, around 11,000 film and television writers are on strike. When they leave their posts, though, it’s not only scribes that Hollywood loses. Most late-night shows have plans to go dark immediately, depriving networks of programming and other workers on these shows of paychecks. The same is true of any shows in production that have ground to a halt. As the strike drags on, these losses will add up. The 2007-08 writers’ strike, which lasted 100 days, cost the state of California’s economy alone an estimated $2.1 billion .

In the 15 years between the end of the 2008 strike and today, the WGA estimates that the industry’s profits have ballooned and writers’ pay has failed to keep up. But there’s a fight over burgeoning technology that complicates their argument and could presage labor disagreements across the country: the use of artificial intelligence.

In the WGA’s strike announcement, they included an update on where negotiations stand. Summarizing their proposal on AI , they wrote, in part, “AI can’t write or rewrite literary material; can’t be used as source material.” The Alliance of Motion Picture and Television Producers rejected this proposal and countered by offering annual meetings to discuss advancements in technology.

Major economic disputes between the WGA and the AMPTP have happened for decades. But disagreements over AI are new. Programs like ChatGPT are not yet advanced enough to write a competent episode of television (the mind travels naturally to a Simpson’s joke : Mr. Burns having monkeys writing on typewriters, and a monkey coming up with “it was the best of times, it was the blurst of times”). There is, however, fear that AI could immediately help studios devalue writers’ work, another worry shared across industries.

“The immediate fear of AI isn’t that us writers will have our work replaced by artificially generated content,” screenwriter C. Robert Cargill tweeted today . “It’s that we will be underpaid to rewrite that trash into something we could have done better from the start.”

Welcome to POLITICO Nightly. Reach out with news, tips and ideas at nightly@politico.com . Or contact tonight’s author at cmchugh@politico.com or on Twitter at @calder_mchugh .

 

GET READY FOR GLOBAL TECH DAY: Join POLITICO Live as we launch our first Global Tech Day alongside London Tech Week on Thursday, June 15. Register now for continuing updates and to be a part of this momentous and program-packed day! From the blockchain, to AI, and autonomous vehicles, technology is changing how power is exercised around the world, so who will write the rules? REGSITER HERE .

 
 
WHAT'D I MISS?

— Ex-officer Thao convicted of aiding George Floyd’s killing: A former Minneapolis police officer who held back bystanders while his colleagues restrained a dying George Floyd has been convicted of aiding and abetting manslaughter . Tou Thao, who had already been convicted in federal court of violating Floyd’s civil rights, was last of the four former officers facing judgment in state court in Floyd’s killing. He rejected a plea agreement and, instead of going to trial, let Hennepin County Judge Peter Cahill decide the verdict based on written filings by each side and evidence presented in previous cases.

— Zeldin ‘keeping an eye’ on NY run versus Gillibrand: Former Republican Rep. Lee Zeldin acknowledges a potential run against New York Democratic Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand would be an uphill battle, but the Republican isn’t completely ruling out a campaign against her in 2024 . “We’ll keep an eye on the race,” Zeldin said while at the state Capitol on Monday to visit with lawmakers. “If we did run, it would be an extremely competitive race.” Zeldin challenged current New York Gov. Kathy Hochul in 2022 and received nearly 47 percent of the vote.

— Both parties dig in on debt limit : Congressional leaders are digging in ahead of next week’s White House meeting on the debt limit , with House Democrats prepping a Hail Mary while Republicans wait on President Joe Biden to meet them at the table. The GOP’s insistence on Democratic concessions in the debt talks makes it highly unlikely that House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries will succeed in his latest pitch: an arcane procedural maneuver that requires Republican support in order to jam Speaker Kevin McCarthy into voting on a “clean” hike to the nation’s borrowing limit. Jeffries’ plan landed with a thud among Republicans who want to see Biden give ground first, despite the Treasury Department’s warning that the nation could exhaust its ability to pay bills as early as June 1.

NIGHTLY ROAD TO 2024

PICK UP THE TAB — It remains unclear who’s paying for some of Gov. Ron DeSantis’ travel expenses . In late February, a jet owned by the company associated with the Fontainebleau Hotel flew from Tallahassee to Newark ahead of DeSantis’ appearance on Staten Island. That same day a jet owned by a central Florida developer flew from Newark to Philadelphia to Chicago to Tallahassee when the governor also made stops that same day in Pennsylvania and Illinois, reports POLITICO’s Gary Fineout .

Who paid for these flights? The governor’s office said no taxpayer money was spent on these flights in connection with DeSantis’ three-city stop that day. A spokesperson who has been affiliated with the governor’s political operation declined to comment. There was nothing listed in the governor’s political committee campaign finance report for February.

AROUND THE WORLD

Ukrainian army snipers change their position facing Russian troops near Bakhmut today.

Ukrainian army snipers change their position facing Russian troops near Bakhmut today. | Libkos/AP Photo

PARADE PR — After missing multiple self-imposed deadlines for capturing Bakhmut, Russia continues to throw more of its soldiers into the grinding battle in the Donetsk region in a desperate bid for something to tout during next week’s Victory Day parade in Moscow, writes Veronika Melkozerova .

Russia celebrates the Soviet victory over Nazi Germany in World War II every year on May 9, and President Vladimir Putin has used the holiday to boost his image as a strongman over the course of his decades in power. But this year’s celebrations will be somewhat muted, with Putin canceling parades in Russia’s Kursk and Belgorod regions, which border Ukraine, and in Russian-occupied Crimea, citing security concerns. With Moscow now in the second year of its full-scale war on Ukraine and no sign of imminent victory, Putin is pushing to win a battle to sell to Russians on May 9.

But with the U.S. estimating that 20,000 Russian soldiers have been killed in Ukraine since December and a further 80,000 injured, Kyiv is determined to rob Putin of any positive PR, and Ukrainian forces are digging in, with heavy fighting continuing around Bakhmut.

Though Russia reportedly controls most of Bakhmut, Cherevatyi said Ukraine still holds the western part of the town and that supply routes are open. Although Russians are throwing more soldiers at their positions, Kyiv’s forces say they are holding the line and have even managed to take back some territory.

“Russia’s attempt at a winter offensive in the Donbas largely through Bakhmut has failed,” said White House National Security Council spokesman John Kirby.

 

DON’T MISS THE POLITICO ENERGY SUMMIT: A new world energy order is emerging and America’s place in it is at a critical juncture. Join POLITICO on Thursday, May 18 for our first-ever energy summit to explore how the U.S. is positioning itself in a complicated energy future. We’ll explore progress on infrastructure and climate funding dedicated to building a renewable energy economy, Biden’s environmental justice proposals, and so much more. REGISTER HERE .

 
 
NIGHTLY NUMBER

1,500

The number of active-duty troops that the Biden administration is planning to send to the southern border ahead of an expected influx of migrants seeking asylum. The move comes as Title 42, the public-health law that permits the U.S. to deny asylum and migrations claims for public health reasons, is set to expire on May 11.

RADAR SWEEP

SPACED OUT — The European Space Agency is investing heavily in cleaning up space. Since the first satellite was launched in 1957, over 11,000 have followed. With our exploration of space has come associated debris , which is now floating unattended to in the atmosphere. Far from the earth, all that trash might sound harmless. But with it comes attendant concerns of potential in-orbit collisions, or space debris coming back to earth — like in May 2020, when a town in the Ivory Coast heard a boom of sound and then found a long pipe from a Chinese rocket that had been launched eight days earlier. Isabelle Mayault reports on the shape that the cleanup effort is taking for The Dial, a global news magazine.

PARTING IMAGE

On this date in 1994: Nelson Mandela, African National Congress leader, and Coretta Scott King, widow of slain civil rights leader Martin Luther King, Jr., sing and dance at a victory celebration for Mandela in Johannesburg after Mandela and the ANC took the majority of the votes in the country's first integrated elections.

On this date in 1994: Nelson Mandela, African National Congress leader, and Coretta Scott King, widow of slain civil rights leader Martin Luther King, Jr., sing and dance at a victory celebration for Mandela in Johannesburg after Mandela and the ANC took the majority of the votes in the country's first integrated elections. | David Brauchli/AP Photo

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Charlie Mahtesian @PoliticoCharlie

Calder McHugh @calder_mchugh

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